Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39375420›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2024

Prediction of adolescent depression from prenatal and childhood data from ALSPAC using machine learning.

Arielle Yoo, Fangzhou Li, Jason Youn, Joanna Guan, Amanda E Guyer, Camelia E Hostinar, Ilias Tagkopoulos

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Leveraging Machine Learning to Uncover Ethnic-Specific Predictors of Maternal Postpartum Depression.Prevention science : the official journal of the Society for Prevention Research · 2026
    Article
  2. Predicting adolescent depression: an interpretable machine learning model.BMC medical informatics and decision making · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Arielle Yoo *Department of Computer Science, University of California - Davis, Davis, USA.
Fangzhou Li *Department of Computer Science, University of California - Davis, Davis, USA.
Jason Youn *Department of Computer Science, University of California - Davis, Davis, USA.
Joanna GuanDepartment of Psychology, University of California - Davis, Davis, USA.
Amanda E GuyerCenter for Mind and Brain, University of California - Davis, Davis, USA.
Camelia E HostinarDepartment of Psychology, University of California - Davis, Davis, USA.
Ilias TagkopoulosDepartment of Computer Science, University of California - Davis, Davis, USA. itagkopoulos@ucdavis.edu.

Funding

Predicting Adolescent Depression Using Machine LearningR21MH125346 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA AT DAVIS · PI HOSTINAR CAUDILL, CAMELIA E, TAGKOPOULOS, ILIAS · 2021 to 2022
$398k
NIMH NIH HHS R21 MH125346NIMH NIH HHS R21 MH125346-01The UK Medical Research Council MRC Grant G0401540 73080The UK Medical Research Council RC Grant G0401540 73080Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Depression is a major cause of disability and mortality for young people worldwide and is typically first diagnosed during adolescence. In this work, we present a machine learning framework to predict adolescent depression occurring between ages 12 and 18 years using environmental, biological, and lifestyle features of the child, mother, and partner from the child's prenatal period to age 10 years using data from 8467 participants enrolled in the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC). We trained and compared several cross-sectional and longitudinal machine learning techniques and found the resulting models predicted adolescent depression with recall (0.59 ± 0.20), specificity (0.61 ± 0.17), and accuracy (0.64 ± 0.13), using on average 39 out of the 885 total features (4.4%) included in the models. The leading informative features in our predictive models of adolescent depression were female sex, parental depression and anxiety, and exposure to stressful events or environments. This work demonstrates how using a broad array of evidence-driven predictors from early in life can inform the development of preventative decision support tools to assist in the early detection of risk for mental illness.

Indexed as

DepressionMachine LearningAdolescentChildCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMalePregnancyRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID39375420
PMCPMC11458604

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.