ArticleBMJ supportive & palliative care2025
Mortality in long-term care residents: retrospective national cohort study.
Article in BMJ supportive & palliative care, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Determining six-month prognosis among people with dementia living in care homes: a systematic review of prognostic tools.Age and ageing · 2026Pooled it
- Bereavement practices within older adult care homes in Scotland: a focus group study.BMJ open · 2026Article
- Trends in end-of-life hospitalisations of nursing home residents: a systematic review.BMJ public health · 2026Article
- Piloting a minimum data set (MDS) in english care homes: a qualitative study of professional perspectives on implementation and data use.BMC geriatrics · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
Abstract
objectivesMortality trends among people living in long-term care settings have been poorly understood. Linking data offers the potential to provide real-world, long-term national follow-up. Our aim was to describe patterns and associations with mortality among people moving-in to care homes in Scotland.
methodsA retrospective cohort study was undertaken using routinely collected national social care data from the Scottish Care Home Census. These data were indexed and linked to national health data and mortality records for individuals moving- in to care homes in Scotland between 1 April 2013 and 31 March 2016. Location of death, underlying causes and time to death are reported. Survival analysis was undertaken using the Gompertz model for human mortality adjusted for key variables.
resultsOf 23 892 individuals moving-in to care homes, 20 250 (84.8%) died by 31 May 2020. Most deaths occurred in the care home setting (77.5%), with a fifth (20.5%) occurring in the hospital. 0.1% died the day they moved-in, 3.2% within a month, 24.2% within a year and 85% by 7 years. Dementia codes account for more than a third of all deaths (35.1%). Median survival time was shorter (701 vs 951 days; 23 vs 32 months) for those moving-in from the hospital, compared with the community. The adjusted HR for moving-in from the hospital was 1.19 (95% CI 1.15 to 1.22).
conclusionsMortality is common in Scotland's care homes but varies in timing. Dementia is the most common cause. Those moving-in from the hospital are more likely to die sooner, and this evidence provides opportunities to improve support for all involved.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.