Deficient functional wound closure as measured by elevated trans-epidermal water loss predicts chronic wound recurrence: An exploratory observational study.

A single-center, prospective, observational pilot study was performed to evaluate wound healing endpoint and recurrence by measuring transepidermal water loss (TEWL) post-closure at the site of wound repair. Patients with clinically-defined chronic wounds (such as pressure ulcers, diabetic ulcers, and trauma wounds) who visited the Plastic Surgery outpatient department or were in-patients at the All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Rishikesh, India, and were referred for chronic wound management, were enrolled. Non-invasive point-of-care TEWL measurements were obtained, from closed wound-site and contralateral healthy skin site, starting from confirmation of closure (post-closure, V0) continuing every 2 weeks for a maximum of five visits or until the wound recurred. Statistical analyses of the data involved logistic regression and likelihood ratio chi-square tests to assess differences in TEWL at visit 0 (V0) between the closed wound site and reference skin, with the TEWL score as the sole predictor of recurrence. Of the 72 subjects that completed the study, 44 (61%) showed no recurrence and 28 (39%) had wounds that recurred over a period of 12 weeks. A significant association was found between the V0 (post-closure) TEWL score and the odds of wound recurrence, both in univariate analysis (OR [95%CI] = 1.26[1.14,1.42] (p < 0.001) and after adjusting for covariates in multivariable analysis (OR [95%CI] = 1.34[1.19,1.61] (p < 0.001). The likelihood ratio chi-square analysis demonstrated that the V0 TEWL score is a significant universal predictor of recurrence across all wound types studied. Cases of closed wounds with subsequent recurrence showed an overall higher post-closure V0 TEWL score, compared to those who did not have a wound recurrence, across visits. The TEWL score cut-off value predictive of recurrence was 24.1 g.m