Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39423838›Full record

Observational studyThe Lancet. Infectious diseases2025

Re-emergence of Oropouche virus between 2023 and 2024 in Brazil: an observational epidemiological study.

Gabriel C Scachetti, Julia Forato, Ingra M Claro, Xinyi Hua, Bárbara B Salgado, Aline Vieira, Camila L Simeoni, Aguyda R C Barbosa, Italo L Rosa, Gabriela F de Souza and 19 more

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 99 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
99citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

99 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  7. Emergence of Oropouche Virus, Venezuela, 2025.Emerging infectious diseases · 2026
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39 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

29 authors.

Gabriel C ScachettiLaboratory of Emerging Viruses, Department of Genetics, Evolution, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Biology, University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil.
Julia ForatoLaboratory of Emerging Viruses, Department of Genetics, Evolution, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Biology, University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil.
Ingra M ClaroDepartment of Microbiology, Immunology, and Molecular Genetics, College of Medicine, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Xinyi HuaDepartment of Microbiology, Immunology, and Molecular Genetics, College of Medicine, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Bárbara B SalgadoLaboratory for Diagnosis and Control of Infectious Diseases in the Amazon, Instituto Leônidas e Maria Deane, Fiocruz Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil; Laboratory of Infectious Diseases and Immunology, Instituto Leônidas e Maria Deane, Fiocruz Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil; Programa de Pós-Graduação Stricto Sensu em Imunologia Básica e Aplicada, Universidade Federal do Amazonas, Manaus, Brazil.
Aline VieiraLaboratory of Emerging Viruses, Department of Genetics, Evolution, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Biology, University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil.
Camila L SimeoniLaboratory of Emerging Viruses, Department of Genetics, Evolution, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Biology, University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil.
Aguyda R C BarbosaLaboratory for Diagnosis and Control of Infectious Diseases in the Amazon, Instituto Leônidas e Maria Deane, Fiocruz Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil; Laboratory of Infectious Diseases and Immunology, Instituto Leônidas e Maria Deane, Fiocruz Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil; Programa de Pós-Graduação Stricto Sensu em Imunologia Básica e Aplicada, Universidade Federal do Amazonas, Manaus, Brazil.
Italo L RosaLaboratory for Diagnosis and Control of Infectious Diseases in the Amazon, Instituto Leônidas e Maria Deane, Fiocruz Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil; Laboratory of Infectious Diseases and Immunology, Instituto Leônidas e Maria Deane, Fiocruz Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil; Programa de Pós-Graduação Stricto Sensu em Imunologia Básica e Aplicada, Universidade Federal do Amazonas, Manaus, Brazil.
Gabriela F de SouzaLaboratory of Emerging Viruses, Department of Genetics, Evolution, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Biology, University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil.
Luana C N FernandesLaboratory for Diagnosis and Control of Infectious Diseases in the Amazon, Instituto Leônidas e Maria Deane, Fiocruz Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil.
Ana Carla H de SenaLaboratory for Diagnosis and Control of Infectious Diseases in the Amazon, Instituto Leônidas e Maria Deane, Fiocruz Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil; Universidade Federal do Amazonas, Manaus, Brazil.
Stephanne C OliveiraLaboratory for Diagnosis and Control of Infectious Diseases in the Amazon, Instituto Leônidas e Maria Deane, Fiocruz Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil; Laboratory of Infectious Diseases and Immunology, Instituto Leônidas e Maria Deane, Fiocruz Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil; Programa de Pós-Graduação Stricto Sensu em Imunologia Básica e Aplicada, Universidade Federal do Amazonas, Manaus, Brazil.
Carolina M L SinghLaboratory for Diagnosis and Control of Infectious Diseases in the Amazon, Instituto Leônidas e Maria Deane, Fiocruz Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil; Laboratory of Infectious Diseases and Immunology, Instituto Leônidas e Maria Deane, Fiocruz Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil; Programa de Pós-Graduação Stricto Sensu em Imunologia Básica e Aplicada, Universidade Federal do Amazonas, Manaus, Brazil.
Shirlene T S de LimaLaboratory of Emerging Viruses, Department of Genetics, Evolution, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Biology, University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil; Department of Microbiology, Immunology, and Molecular Genetics, College of Medicine, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA; Laboratório Central de Saúde Pública do Ceará, Fortaleza, Brazil.
Ronaldo de JesusCentro Nacional de Inteligência Epidemiológica, Secretária de Vigilância em Saúde, Ministério da Saúde, Brasília, Brazil; Instituto de Ciências Biológicas, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil.
Mariana A CostaLaboratório Central de Saúde Pública do Acre, Rio Branco, Brazil.
Rodrigo B KatoCentro Nacional de Inteligência Epidemiológica, Secretária de Vigilância em Saúde, Ministério da Saúde, Brasília, Brazil; Instituto de Ciências Biológicas, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil.
Josilene F RochaLaboratório Central de Saúde Pública do Acre, Rio Branco, Brazil.
Leandro C SantosLaboratório Central de Saúde Pública do Acre, Rio Branco, Brazil.
Janete T RodriguesLaboratório Central de Saúde Pública do Acre, Rio Branco, Brazil.
Marielton P CunhaLaboratory of Emerging Viruses, Department of Genetics, Evolution, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Biology, University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil.
Ester C SabinoInstituto de Medicina Tropical, Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; Departamento de Patologia, Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Nuno R FariaInstituto de Medicina Tropical, Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK; Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Scott C WeaverDepartment of Microbiology and Immunology and World Reference Center for Emerging Viruses and Arboviruses, University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston, TX, USA.
Camila M RomanoInstituto de Medicina Tropical, Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; Hospital das Clínicas da Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Pritesh LalwaniLaboratory for Diagnosis and Control of Infectious Diseases in the Amazon, Instituto Leônidas e Maria Deane, Fiocruz Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil; Laboratory of Infectious Diseases and Immunology, Instituto Leônidas e Maria Deane, Fiocruz Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil; Programa de Pós-Graduação Stricto Sensu em Imunologia Básica e Aplicada, Universidade Federal do Amazonas, Manaus, Brazil. Electronic address: pritesh.lalwani@fiocruz.br.
José Luiz Proenca-ModenaLaboratory of Emerging Viruses, Department of Genetics, Evolution, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Biology, University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil. Electronic address: jlmodena@unicamp.br.
William M de SouzaDepartment of Microbiology, Immunology, and Molecular Genetics, College of Medicine, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA. Electronic address: wmdesouza@uky.edu.

Funding

World Reference Center for Emerging Viruses and Arboviruses (WRCEVA)R24AI120942 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS MED BR GALVESTON · PI WEAVER, SCOTT C · 2016 to 2024
$8.5M
NIAID NIH HHS R24 AI120942Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOropouche virus is an arthropod-borne virus that has caused outbreaks of Oropouche fever in central and South America since the 1950s. This study investigates virological factors contributing to the re-emergence of Oropouche fever in Brazil between 2023 and 2024.

methodsIn this observational epidemiological study, we combined multiple data sources for Oropouche virus infections in Brazil and conducted in-vitro and in-vivo characterisation. We collected serum samples obtained in Manaus City, Amazonas state, Brazil, from patients with acute febrile illnesses aged 18 years or older who tested negative for malaria and samples from people with previous Oropouche virus infection from Coari municipality, Amazonas state, Brazil. Basic clinical and demographic data were collected from the Brazilian Laboratory Environment Management System. We calculated the incidence of Oropouche fever cases with data from the Brazilian Ministry of Health and the 2022 Brazilian population census and conducted age-sex analyses. We used reverse transcription quantitative PCR to test for Oropouche virus RNA in samples and subsequently performed sequencing and phylogenetic analysis of viral isolates. We compared the phenotype of the 2023-24 epidemic isolate (AM0088) with the historical prototype strain BeAn19991 through assessment of titre, plaque number, and plaque size. We used a plaque reduction neutralisation test (PRNT

findings8639 (81·8%) of 10 557 laboratory-confirmed Oropouche fever cases from Jan 4, 2015, to Aug 10, 2024, occurred in 2024, which is 58·8 times the annual median of 147 cases (IQR 73-325). Oropouche virus infections were reported in all 27 federal units, with 8182 (77·5%) of 10 557 infections occurring in North Brazil. We detected Oropouche virus RNA in ten (11%) of 93 patients with acute febrile illness between Jan 1 and Feb 4, 2024, in Amazonas state. AM0088 had a significantly higher replication at 12 h and 24 h after infection in mammalian cells than the prototype strain. AM0088 had a more virulent phenotype than the prototype in mammalian cells, characterised by earlier plaque formation, between 27% and 65% increase in plaque number, and plaques between 2·4-times and 2·6-times larger. Furthermore, serum collected on May 2 and May 20, 2016, from individuals previously infected with Oropouche virus showed at least a 32-fold reduction in neutralising capacity (ie, median PRNT

interpretationThese findings provide a comprehensive assessment of Oropouche fever in Brazil and contribute to an improved understanding of the 2023-24 Oropouche virus re-emergence. Our exploratory in-vitro data suggest that the increased incidence might be related to a higher replication efficiency of a new Oropouche virus reassortant for which previous immunity shows lower neutralising capacity.

fundingSão Paulo Research Foundation, Burroughs Wellcome Fund, Wellcome Trust, US National Institutes of Health, and Brazilian National Council for Scientific and Technological Development. TRANSLATION: For the Portuguese translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Indexed as

Bunyaviridae InfectionsCommunicable Diseases, EmergingOrthobunyavirusAdolescentAdultAgedAnimalsBrazilDisease OutbreaksFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPhylogenyRNA, ViralRNA, Viral

Identifiers

PMID39423838
PMCPMC11779697

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.