ArticleJournal of gastroenterology2025
Impact of age at HBsAg seroclearance on hepatic outcomes and life expectancy in men with chronic HBV infection based on multi-state modeling of the natural history.
Article in Journal of gastroenterology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- [Chinese expert consensus on clinical practice of chronic hepatitis B functional (clinical) cure].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2025Guideline
- HBsAg seroclearance with HBV DNA <100 IU/mL and long-term risks of adverse liver events, all-cause mortality, and cause-specific mortality in chronic hepatitis B: a prospective cohort study.The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific · 2026Article
- Impact of tenofovirJHEP reports : innovation in hepatology · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundThe effects of age at HBsAg seroclearance on clinical outcomes and survival in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) have not been adequately assessed. We evaluated the impact of age at HBsAg seroclearance on long-term outcomes, along with how coexisting factors modified risks and life expectancy in CHB patients.
methodsWe used multi-state modeling approach to examine transitions through the CHB continuum in a longitudinal cohort study of male civil servants recruited in 1989-1992. Hepatic outcomes and deaths were identified by clinical evaluation and linkage with national health databases. Four sets of risk factors (CHB-related, metabolic, lifestyle, and genetic factors) were assessed.
resultsOf 2551 HBsAg carriers, with follow-up until 2021 or death, 695 achieved HBsAg seroclearance, 490 developed cirrhosis (88 decompensated), 252 developed hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and 652 died. The cumulative rates for HCC were 1.1% and 1.5% at 10 years after HBsAg seroclearance, respectively, for patients achieving seroclearance at age 50 and 60; correspondingly, the rates for cirrhosis were 2.3% and 3.0%. Developing HBsAg seroclearance was associated with a reduced risk of cirrhosis (HR = 0.37, 95% CI 0.15-0.92) but not HCC. Patients experiencing HBsAg seroclearance lived longer years free of major liver diseases than HBsAg-persistent patients, and achieving seroclearance at age 50 (vs 60) led to a greater increase in the disease-free life expectancy. However, obesity and smoking were associated with adverse hepatic outcomes and loss of the disease-free life expectancy following HBsAg seroclearance.
conclusionsOur findings highlight the benefit of earlier HBsAg seroclearance for gains in disease-free life expectancy and the impact of obesity and smoking on loss of the life years free of major liver diseases following HBsAg seroclearance.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.