Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39445439›Full record

Observational studyCancer medicine2024

Predicting Disease Progression in Inoperable Localized NSCLC Patients Using ctDNA Machine Learning Model.

Yuqi Wu, Canjun Li, Yin Yang, Tao Zhang, Jianyang Wang, Wanxiangfu Tang, Ningyou Li, Hua Bao, Xin Wang, Nan Bi

Registry-linked trialAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Cancer medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04014465 (Monitoring Efficacy of Radiotherapy Based on Next Generation Sequencing Liquid Biopsy Technique in Lung Cancer and Esophageal Cancer), which is not on this map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04014465 unknown statusnot on this map

Monitoring Efficacy of Radiotherapy Based on Next Generation Sequencing Liquid Biopsy Technique in Lung Cancer and Esophageal Cancer: a Prospective Study

TypeobservationalSponsorChinese Academy of Medical SciencesRan2019 to 2022Enrolled150ConditionsLung Cancer, Esophageal Cancer
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. neomerDB: a comprehensive database of neomer biomarkers in cancer.Database : the journal of biological databases and curation · 2026
    Article
  7. Review
  8. Review
  9. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Yuqi WuDepartment of Radiation Oncology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Canjun LiDepartment of Radiation Oncology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Yin YangDepartment of Radiation Oncology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Tao ZhangDepartment of Radiation Oncology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Jianyang WangDepartment of Radiation Oncology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Wanxiangfu TangGeneseeq Research Institute, Nanjing Geneseeq Technology Inc., Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9045-2478
Ningyou LiGeneseeq Research Institute, Nanjing Geneseeq Technology Inc., Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Hua BaoGeneseeq Research Institute, Nanjing Geneseeq Technology Inc., Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Xin WangDepartment of Radiation Oncology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Nan BiDepartment of Radiation Oncology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7201-2930

Funding

National Key Research and Development Program of China 2021YFF1201304National Natural Science Foundation of China 82173348
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThere is an urgent clinical need to accurately predict the risk for disease progression in post-treatment NSCLC patients, yet current ctDNA mutation profiling approaches are limited by low sensitivity. We represent a non-invasive liquid biopsy assay utilizing cfDNA neomer profiling for predicting disease progression in 44 inoperable localized NSCLC patients.

methodsA total of 97 plasma samples were collected at various time points during or post-treatments (TP1: 39, TP2: 33, TP3: 25). cfDNA neomer profiling, generated based on target sequencing data, was used to fit survival support vector machine models for each time point. Leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) was performed to evaluate the models' predictive performances.

resultsOur cfDNA neomer profiling assay showed excellent performance in detecting patients with a high risk for disease progression. At TP1, the high-risk patients detected by our model showed an increased risk of 3.62 times (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.62, p = 0.0026) for disease progression, compared to 3.91 times (HR = 3.91, p = 0.0022) and 4.00 times (HR = 4.00, p = 0.019) for TP2 and TP3. These neomer profiling determined HRs were higher than the ctDNA mutation-based results (HR = 2.08, p = 0.074; HR = 1.49, p = 0.61) at TP1 and TP3. At TP1, the predictive model reached 40% sensitivity at 92.9% specificity, outperforming the mutation-based method (40% sensitivity at 78.6% specificity), while the combination results reached a higher sensitivity (60%). Finally, the longitudinal analysis showed that the combination of neomer and ctDNA mutation-based results could predict disease progression with an excellent sensitivity of 88.9% at 80% specificity.

conclusionIn conclusion, we developed a cfDNA neomer profiling assay for predicting disease progression in inoperable NSCLC patients. This assay showed increased predicting power during and post-treatment compared to the ctDNA mutation-based method, thus illustrating a great clinical potential to guide treatment decisions in inoperable NSCLC patients.

trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov: NCT04014465.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell LungCirculating Tumor DNADisease ProgressionLung NeoplasmsMachine LearningAdultAgedAged, 80 and overBiomarkers, TumorFemaleHumansLiquid BiopsyMaleMiddle AgedMutationBiomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNAmachine learningMRD detectionneomernon‐invasiveNSCLC

Identifiers

PMID39445439
PMCPMC11499892

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.