Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39449820›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in nutrition2024

Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting 28-day mortality in critically ill patients with acute gastrointestinal injury: prospective observational study.

Youquan Wang, Yanhua Li, Yuhan Zhang, Huimei Wang, Yuting Li, Liying Zhang, Chaoyang Zhang, Meng Gao, Hongxiang Li, Dong Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in nutrition, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Youquan WangDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Yanhua LiDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Yuhan ZhangDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Huimei WangDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Yuting LiDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Liying ZhangDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Chaoyang ZhangDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Meng GaoDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Hongxiang LiDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Dong ZhangDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: Developing and validating a clinical prediction nomogram of 28-day mortality in critically ill patients with acute gastrointestinal injury (AGI). Methods: Firstly, the construction of a clinical prediction model was developed using data obtained from a prospective observational study from May 2023 to April 2024. Then, data from a prospective multicenter observational study conducted in the intensive care units of 12 teaching hospitals in 2014 were utilized to independently and externally validate the clinical prediction model developed in the first part. We first screened the covariates of the development cohort by univariate cox regression, and then carried out cox regression analysis on the development cohort by backward stepwise regression to determine the optimal fitting model. Subsequently, a nomogram was derived from this model. Results: A total of 1102 and 379 patients, 28-day mortality occurred in 20.3% and 15.8% of patients respectively, were included in the development and validation cohort, respectively. We developed a nomogram in critically ill patients with AGI and the AGI grade, APACHE II score, Mechanical ventilation (MV), Feeding intolerance (FI) and daily calorie intake (DCI) in 72 h, were independent predictors of 28-day mortality, with the OR of the AGI grade was 1.910 (95% Conclusion: The prediction of 28-day mortality can be conveniently facilitated by the nomogram that integrates AGI grade, APACHE II score, MV, FI and DCI in 72 h in critically ill patients with AGI.

Indexed as

acute gastrointestinal injuryfeeding intolerancenomogramsnutritional support intensive care unitoutcome

Identifiers

PMID39449820
PMCPMC11499162

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.