Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39582005›Full record

ArticlePneumonia (Nathan Qld.)2024

Oxygenation indices and early prediction of outcome in hypoxemic patients with COVID-19 pneumonia requiring noninvasive respiratory support in pulmonary intermediate care unit.

Raffaele Scala, Teresa Renda, Sonia Bambina, Luca Guidelli, Stefania Arniani, Laura Carrassa, Simon Oczkowski

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Pneumonia (Nathan Qld.), 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07788313 (Integrating the Ventilator Mechanical Power Into the Oxygenation and Saturation Indices for Prediction of Postoperative Pulmonary Complications After Major Abdominal Surgeries; a Prospective Observational Study), which is not on this map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07788313 completednot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Integrating the Ventilator Mechanical Power Into the Oxygenation and Saturation Indices for Prediction of Postoperative Pulmonary Complications After Major Abdominal Surgeries; a Prospective Observational Study

TypeobservationalSponsorHadeer Yasser Abd El-aliemRan2025 to 2026Enrolled120ConditionsPostoperative Pulmonary Complications (PPC)ArmsNo Interventions
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Raffaele ScalaPulmonology and PIMCU, Cardio-Toraco-Neurovascular Department, S. Donato Hospital, Arezzo Usl Toscana Sudest, Via Nenni, 20, Arezzo, 52100, Italy. raffaele_scala@hotmail.com.
Teresa RendaPulmonology and PIMCU, Cardio-Toraco-Neurovascular Department, S. Donato Hospital, Arezzo Usl Toscana Sudest, Via Nenni, 20, Arezzo, 52100, Italy.
Sonia BambinaPulmonology and PIMCU, Cardio-Toraco-Neurovascular Department, S. Donato Hospital, Arezzo Usl Toscana Sudest, Via Nenni, 20, Arezzo, 52100, Italy.
Luca GuidelliPulmonology and PIMCU, Cardio-Toraco-Neurovascular Department, S. Donato Hospital, Arezzo Usl Toscana Sudest, Via Nenni, 20, Arezzo, 52100, Italy.
Stefania ArnianiDemographic and Epidemiologic Section, Prevention Department, S. Donato Hospital, Arezzo Usl Toscana Sudest, Arezzo, Italy.
Laura CarrassaDepartment of Oncology, S. Donato Hospital, Arezzo Usl Toscana Sudest, Arezzo, Italy.
Simon OczkowskiDepartment of Medicine, Division of Critical Care, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEarly prediction of non-invasive respiratory therapy (NIRT) failure is crucial to avoid needless prolongation of respiratory support and delayed endotracheal intubation. Data comparing the predictive value of oxygenation indices (OI) in COVID-19 receiving NIRT are scant. The aim of this monocentric retrospective study of prospectively collected data was to assess the effectiveness of different OI in predicting NIRT outcome at baseline (t0), 12 h (t12) and 24 h (t24) of treatment in hypoxemic patients with COVID-19-related pneumonia, managed in a Pulmonary Intermediate Care Unit (October 2020-June 2021).

methodsWe assessed the predictive value of SpO2/FiO2, PaO2/FiO2, standardised PaO2/FiO2 ratio (s-PaO2/FiO2), respiratory index (RI), arterial-alveolar oxygen gradient (a-ADO2), age adjusted arterial-alveolar oxygen ratio (adj-a-ADO2D). Receiver operating characteristics (ROC), AUC and best sensitivity-specificity cut-off values were calculated at t0, t12, t24. NIRT failure risk was adjusted for non-oxygenation predictors.

resultsAmong 590 patients with COVID-19 infection, 368 met the eligibility criteria for inclusion in the study [mean (CI95%): PaO2/FiO2 214(206,8-221,9); PaCO2 mean 32,9 mmHg,(32,4-33,4)]. NIRT failure and hospital mortality rate were 23,4% and 19,6%, respectively. Older age, male gender, agitation/confusion, need for sedation, inability to tolerate prone positioning were independent predictors of NIRT failure. SpO2/FiO2, a-ADO2 and adj-aADO2 at t12 and t24, PaO2/FiO2 and RI at t24 were associated with NIRT failure. Prognostic predictivity of OI increased from t0 to t24. Greater ROC-AUC values were obtained with SpO2/FiO2 0,662 (0,60-0,72) (t0), PaO2/FiO2 0,697 (0,63-0,76) (t12) and s-PaO2/FiO2 0,769 (0,71-0,83) (t24). NIRT failure was independently predicted by PaO2/FiO2, s-PaO2/FiO2 and RI at any observation time and by SpO2/FiO2 and O2 gradients respectively at t0 and t24. SaO2/FiO2 ≤ 300 (t0), PaO2/FiO2 ≤ 151,7 (t12) and s-PaO2/FiO2 ≤ 160,4 (t24) turned out to be the best predictors of NIRT outcome.

conclusionsOI showed different effectiveness in predicting NIRT failure within 24 h of treatment in COVID-19 related pneumonia. This may be due to the multi-factorial pathophysiology of hypoxemia. Our study empathises furthermore the role of non-oxygenation-related parameters in contributing to the outcome. These findings may be useful to build a predictive model also in no COVID-19 related hypoxemic pneumonia.

Indexed as

COVID-19High flow nasal cannulaNon invasive respiratory therapiesNon invasive ventilationOxygenation indexesPulmonary intermediate care unit

Identifiers

PMID39582005
PMCPMC11587655

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.