Evidence mapPaperPMID 39588597Full record

ArticleHealth services research2025

Instrumental variables in the cost of illness featuring type 2 diabetes.

Kyle Kole, Cathleen D Zick, Barbara B Brown, David S Curtis, Lori Kowaleski-Jones, Huong D Meeks, Ken R Smith

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Health services research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Kyle KoleDepartment of Family and Consumer Studies, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6289-508X
Cathleen D ZickDepartment of Family and Consumer Studies, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA.
Barbara B BrownDepartment of Family and Consumer Studies, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA.
David S CurtisDepartment of Family and Consumer Studies, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA.
Lori Kowaleski-JonesDepartment of Family and Consumer Studies, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA.
Huong D MeeksDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA.
Ken R SmithDepartment of Family and Consumer Studies, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA.

Funding

NCRR NIH HHS R01 RR021746NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK118405NIDDK NIH HHS R01DK118405
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo ascertain how an instrumental variables (IV) model can improve upon the estimates obtained from traditional cost-of-illness (COI) models that treat health conditions as predetermined. STUDY SETTING AND

designA simulation study based on observational data compares the coefficients and average marginal effects from an IV model to a traditional COI model when an unobservable confounder is introduced. The two approaches are then applied to real data, using a kinship-weighted family history as an instrument, and differences are interpreted within the context of the findings from the simulation study. DATA SOURCES AND ANALYTIC SAMPLE: The case study utilizes secondary data on type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) status to examine healthcare costs attributable to the disease. The data come from Utah residents born between 1950 and 1970 with medical insurance coverage whose demographic information is contained in the Utah Population Database. Those data are linked to insurance claims from Utah's All-Payer Claims Database for the analyses. PRINCIPAL

findingsThe simulation confirms that estimated T2DM healthcare cost coefficients are biased when traditional COI models do not account for unobserved characteristics that influence both the risk of illness and healthcare costs. This bias can be corrected to a certain extent with instrumental variables. An IV model with a validated instrument estimates that 2014 costs for an individual age 45-64 with T2DM are 27% (95% CI: 2.9% to 51.9%) higher than those for an otherwise comparable individual who does not have T2DM.

conclusionsResearchers studying the COI for chronic diseases should assess the possibility that traditional estimates may be subject to bias because of unobserved characteristics. Doing so may be especially important for prevention and intervention studies that turn to COI studies to assess the cost savings associated with such initiatives.

Indexed as

Cost of IllnessDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Health Care CostsAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedUtahfamily health historyhealthcare costinstrumental variablestwo‐part modeltype 2 diabetes

Identifiers

PMID39588597
PMCPMC12120511

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.