Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39609001›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2024

Impact of longitudinal changes in serum uric acid levels and weight gain on new-onset atrial fibrillation-The Nishimura Health Survey: a retrospective cohort study.

Jun Munakata, Keitaro Senoo, Mitsuko Nakata, Satoshi Teramukai, Muneaki Kumagai, Miyoko Yamaoka, Hiromi Nishimura, Satoaki Matoba

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Jun MunakataDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Graduate School of Medical Science, Kyoto Prefectural University of Medicine, Kyoto, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0002-3070-8010
Keitaro SenooDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Graduate School of Medical Science, Kyoto Prefectural University of Medicine, Kyoto, Japan k-senoo@koto.kpu-m.ac.jp.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8597-7165
Mitsuko NakataDepartment of Biostatistics, Graduate School of Medical Science, Kyoto Prefectural University of Medicine, Kyoto, Japan.
Satoshi TeramukaiDepartment of Biostatistics, Graduate School of Medical Science, Kyoto Prefectural University of Medicine, Kyoto, Japan.
Muneaki KumagaiMedical Corporation Soukenkai, Nishimura Clinic, Kyoto, Japan.
Miyoko YamaokaMedical Corporation Soukenkai, Nishimura Clinic, Kyoto, Japan.
Hiromi NishimuraMedical Corporation Soukenkai, Nishimura Clinic, Kyoto, Japan.
Satoaki MatobaDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Graduate School of Medical Science, Kyoto Prefectural University of Medicine, Kyoto, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveUric acid (UA) and obesity are significant risk factors for new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF). Based on the pathogenesis mechanisms of new-onset AF involving obesity and UA, it is possible that UA and weight gain may interact with each other. We investigated the impact of UA and weight gain on new-onset AF using a simple measure of weight change over time, 'weight gain of ≥10 kg after age 20'.

designA retrospective cohort study. SETTING AND

participantsWe retrospectively analysed 16 444 Japanese aged over 30 without AF from a cohort of employees undergoing annual health check-up from 2 April 2013 to 30 April 2022. We conducted a landmark survival analysis to assess the impact of longitudinal changes in UA and obesity on new-onset AF. Weight gain was defined as 'weight gain of≥10 kg after age 20' using a standardised self-administered questionnaire. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: Subjects were diagnosed with AF when AF was present in the electrocardiogram or when indicated in a patient interview.

resultDuring a median follow-up period of 3.91 years, 69 new-onset AF occurred (incidence; 1.12/1000 person-years). UA levels were 5.76 (±1.37) in the weight gain group and 4.87 (±1.31) in the no weight gain group, both within normal limits. A multivariable landmark survival analysis including interaction term showed that new-onset AF was significantly associated with age, sex, baseline systolic blood pressure, baseline UA and the interaction term between UA change and weight gain. The interaction term between weight gain and UA change indicates that HR for every UA 1 mg/dL increase was 1.96 (95% CI 1.38 to 2.77) in subjects with weight gain and 0.95 (95% CI 0.61 to 1.48) in those without.

conclusionEven if UA levels are within the normal range, subsequent UA change and weight gain in adulthood have an interactive effect on new-onset AF.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationObesityUric AcidWeight GainAdultAgedFemaleHealth SurveysHumansIncidenceJapanLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsUric AcidCardiac EpidemiologyObservational StudyPREVENTIVE MEDICINEPUBLIC HEALTHRisk FactorsWeight Gain

Identifiers

PMID39609001
PMCPMC11603741

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.