Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39668763›Full record

ArticleEuro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin2024

Direct and indirect effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality: an individual-level population-scale analysis using linked electronic health records, Wales, United Kingdom, 2016 to 2022.

Rhiannon K Owen, James D van Oppen, Jane Lyons, Ashley Akbari, Gareth Davies, Fatemeh Torabi, Keith R Abrams, Ronan A Lyons

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Rhiannon K OwenPopulation Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom.
James D van OppenCentre for Urgent and Emergency Care Research (CURE), University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom.
Jane LyonsPopulation Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom.
Ashley AkbariPopulation Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom.
Gareth DaviesPopulation Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom.
Fatemeh TorabiPopulation Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom.
Keith R AbramsDepartment of Statistics & Warwick Medical School (WMS), University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom.
Ronan A LyonsPopulation Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom.

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic resulted in increased mortality directly and indirectly associated with COVID-19.AimTo assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on all-cause and disease-specific mortality and explore potential health inequalities associated with area-level deprivation in Wales.MethodsTwo population-based cohort studies were derived from multi-sourced, linked demographic, administrative and electronic health record data from 2016 to 2019 (n = 3,113,319) and 2020 to 2022 (n = 3,571,471). Data were analysed using generalised linear models adjusting for age, sex, area-level deprivation and time at risk.ResultsCOVID-19 deaths peaked in January 2021 (54.9/100,000 person-months, 95% confidence interval (CI): 52.4-57.5). The pandemic indirectly affected deaths, with higher than expected maximum relative mortality rates (RR) related to cancer (RR: 1.24, 95% CI: 1.13-1.36), infectious diseases (excluding respiratory infections) (RR: 2.09, 95% CI: 1.27- 3.43), circulatory system (RR: 1.41, 95% CI: 1.28-1.56), trauma (RR: 2.04, 95% CI: 1.57- 2.65), digestive system (RR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.25-1.91), nervous system (RR: 1.63; 95% CI: 1.34-2.00) and mental and behavioural disorders (RR: 1.85, 95% CI: 1.58-2.16). Mortality associated with respiratory diseases (unrelated to COVID-19) were lower than expected (minimum RR: 0.52, 95% CI: 0.45-0.60). All-cause mortality was lower in least deprived communities compared with most deprived (RR: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.60-0.62), and the magnitude of this effect increased during the pandemic.ConclusionsAll-cause and disease-specific mortality directly and indirectly associated with COVID-19 increased during the COVID-19 pandemic. Socioeconomic disparities were exacerbated during this time.

Indexed as

Cause of DeathCOVID-19Electronic Health RecordsPandemicsSARS-CoV-2AdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedMortalityNeoplasmsCOVID-19EpidemiologyHealthcare DisparitiesPublic healthSocioeconomic Factors

Identifiers

PMID39668763
PMCPMC11650509

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.