Evidence mapPaperPMID 39680313Full record

ArticleAdvances in therapy2025

Long-Term Clinical and Economic Effects of Switching to Once-Weekly Semaglutide from Other GLP-1 RAs Among Patients with Type 2 Diabetes in China: A Modeling Projection Study.

Ying Hu, Xianwen Chen, Huimin Zou, Hao Zhang, Qi Ni, Yijun Li, Carolina Oi Lam Ung, Hao Hu, Yiming Mu

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In one paragraph

Article in Advances in therapy, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Ying Hu *Department of Endocrinology, The First Medical Center, Chinese People's Liberation Army General Hospital, 28 Fu Xing Road, Haidian District, Beijing, China.
Xianwen Chen *State Key Laboratory of Quality Research in Chinese Medicine, Institute of Chinese Medical Sciences, University of Macau, Room 1050, E12 Research Building, Macau, SAR, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0008-5903-8368
Huimin ZouState Key Laboratory of Quality Research in Chinese Medicine, Institute of Chinese Medical Sciences, University of Macau, Room 1050, E12 Research Building, Macau, SAR, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6239-3335
Hao ZhangNovo Nordisk (China) Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2180-0122
Qi NiDepartment of Endocrinology, The First Medical Center, Chinese People's Liberation Army General Hospital, 28 Fu Xing Road, Haidian District, Beijing, China.
Yijun LiDepartment of Endocrinology, The First Medical Center, Chinese People's Liberation Army General Hospital, 28 Fu Xing Road, Haidian District, Beijing, China.
Carolina Oi Lam UngState Key Laboratory of Quality Research in Chinese Medicine, Institute of Chinese Medical Sciences, University of Macau, Room 1050, E12 Research Building, Macau, SAR, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1915-5099
Hao HuState Key Laboratory of Quality Research in Chinese Medicine, Institute of Chinese Medical Sciences, University of Macau, Room 1050, E12 Research Building, Macau, SAR, China. haohu@um.edu.mo.
Yiming MuDepartment of Endocrinology, The First Medical Center, Chinese People's Liberation Army General Hospital, 28 Fu Xing Road, Haidian District, Beijing, China. muyiming@301hospital.com.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3344-3540

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionPrevious studies, using clinical trial data, demonstrated that once-weekly (OW) semaglutide is dominant versus other glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) in China. This study aims to evaluate the long-term clinical and economic effects of switching to OW semaglutide from other GLP-1 RAs among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in China.

methodsThe Institute of Health Economics Diabetes Cohort Model (IHE-DCM) was used to project life expectancy, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and total direct medical cost over 40 years from a Chinese healthcare system perspective. Baseline characteristics, clinical effectiveness, and the treatment dose of OW semaglutide were derived from previously real-world studies. Patients were assumed to switch to semaglutide or continue previous GLP-1 RAs for 3 years and change to intensive therapy. Drug prices were based on the median bidding price in January 2024 in China. Costs of other GLP-1 RAs were calculated on the basis of their market share in China. All costs were accounted as 2023 Chinese yuan (CNY). A discount of 5% was applied. One-way sensitivity analyses and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were used to test the robustness of the base-case result.

resultsThe results show that switching to OW semaglutide from other GLP-1 RAs among patients with T2DM in China can improve life expectancy by 0.02 years and afford an additional 0.12 QALYs per patient. Meanwhile, switching to OW semaglutide is associated with decreased total lifetime direct medical costs of 4204 CNY per patient, mainly resulting from savings in microvascular costs (2214 CNY) and macrovascular costs (1228 CNY). Sensitivity analyses show the robustness of modeling projection findings.

conclusionBased on real-world data from China, this modeling projection study demonstrates that switching to OW semaglutide from other GLP-1 RAs can have better clinical and economic effects for patients with T2DM in China, indicating it as a dominant treatment choice.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor AgonistsGlucagon-Like PeptidesHypoglycemic AgentsAgedChinaCost-Benefit AnalysisDrug Administration ScheduleFemaleGlucagon-Like Peptide 1HumansLife ExpectancyMaleMiddle AgedQuality-Adjusted Life YearsSemaglutideGlucagon-Like Peptide 1Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor AgonistsGlucagon-Like PeptidesHypoglycemic AgentsSemaglutideChinaModelingSemaglutideType 2 diabetes mellitus

Identifiers

What Socratic holds

Texttitle and abstract
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.