Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39702185›Full record

ArticleVirology journal2024

Development and validation of a predictive model for metabolic syndrome in a large cohort of people living with HIV.

Suling Chen, Yuyuan Xu, Yuanhui Jiang, Hongjie Chen, Xiaoxuan Wu, Zhe Qian, Xuwen Xu, Huiqun Zhong, Jie Peng, Shaohang Cai

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Virology journal, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Observational
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Suling Chen *Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China.
Yuyuan Xu *Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China.
Yuanhui Jiang *Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China.
Hongjie ChenDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China.
Xiaoxuan WuDepartment of Communicable and Endemic Disease Control and Prevention, Haizhu District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China.
Zhe QianSecond Department of Elderly Respiratory, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangdong Provincial Geriatrics Institute, Guangzhou, China.
Xuwen XuDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China.
Huiqun ZhongDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China. lovely870821@163.com.
Jie PengDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China. pjie138@163.com.
Shaohang CaiDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China. shaohangcai@foxmail.com.

Funding

National Key Research and Development Program of China 2022YFC2304800National Natural Science Foundation of China 82203300
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe global prevalence of metabolic syndrome (MetS) in people living with HIV (PLWH) is on the rise in the post era of antiretroviral therapy (ART). Nevertheless, there are no validated predictive models available for assessing the risk of MetS in this specific population.

methodsThis study included PLWH who participated in annual follow-ups at Southern Medical University Nanfang Hospital from September 2022 to November 2023. Participants enrolled in this study were divided into the training set and validation set based on the follow-up duration. We employed both multivariate logistic regression and lasso regression to develop three distinct prediction models. Subsequently, the optimal model was determined through comprehensive analyses, including receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Ultimately, we generated a nomogram for the optimal model and analyzed the correlation between the model score and the components of MetS.

resultsA total of 1017 participants were included in this study, with 814 in the training set and 203 in the validation set. The ultimate prediction model of MetS risk in PLWH incorporated five factors: age, CD8 + T cell counts, controlled attenuation parameter (CAP), gamma-glutamyl transferase (γ-GT) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the model in the training set and validation set was 0.849 and 0.834, respectively. Furthermore, we revealed a significant correlation between the model score and the MetS components. Additionally, the model score revealed significant group differences in MetS and related metabolic disorders.

conclusionsThis study established a potential model for predicting MetS in PLWH.

Indexed as

HIV InfectionsMetabolic SyndromeROC CurveAdultCohort StudiesFemaleHumansL-Lactate DehydrogenaseMaleMiddle AgedNomogramsPrevalenceRisk FactorsL-Lactate DehydrogenaseClinical endocrinologyClinical prediction modelHIV/AIDSMetabolic syndromeNomogram

Identifiers

PMID39702185
PMCPMC11657774

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.