Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39775322›Full record

ArticlePloS one2025

Burden of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in adults aged 70 years and older, 1990-2021: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Kaifang Meng, Xu Chen, Zhishang Chen, Jing Xu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

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  10. Integrated Care for COPD in the Elderly: Impact on Healthcare Utilization Across Healthcare Settings.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Kaifang MengDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital Clinical College of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China.
Xu ChenSchool of Public Health and Healthcare Management, Gannan Medical University, Ganzhou, Jiangxi, People's Republic of China.
Zhishang ChenDepartment of Intensive Care Unit, Xuzhou Center Hospital, The Affiliated Xuzhou Hospital of Medical College of Southeast University, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China.
Jing XuDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The Second People's Hospital of Fuyang City, Fuyang, Anhui, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0009-0001-4310-653X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLife expectancy at age 70 has continued to rise globally over the past 30 years. However, a comprehensive assessment of the burden of COPD in older adults is lacking. We aimed to estimate the burden of COPD and its attributable risk factors among adults aged ≥70 years.

methodsData on the prevalence, incidence, deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and risk factors of COPD among adults aged ≥70 years from 1990 to 2021 across 204 countries and territories, were sourced from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was used to illustrate temporal trends at global and regional levels from 1990 to 2021.

resultsIn 2021, the global numbers of prevalent and incident COPD cases among older adults were 99.7 and 7.4 million, increasing by 162.2% and 157.4% from 1990. The prevalence and incidence rates increased from 18823.5 (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 16324.4-21208.4) to 20165.6 (17703.8-22549.4) and 1429.0 (1224.2-1613.0) to 1502.7 (1309.0-1677.9) per 100,000 population (EAPC 0.31, 95% CI 0.28-0.33; 0.17, 95% CI 0.16-0.19). The global numbers of COPD-associated deaths and DALYs in 2021 reached 2.9 and 45.4 million, increasing by 70.7% and 70.0% from 2019, while the corresponding rates declined (both EAPC <0). The highest prevalence and the largest increase in incidence rate occurred in high sociodemographic index (SDI) regions, while the largest increase in death and DALY rates occurred in the low SDI regions. The United States had the highest prevalence rates in 2021, while Iran had the largest increase. From 1990 to 2021, the death rates attributable to ambient ozone pollution-related COPD in older adults have risen, particularly in low and low-middle SDI regions.

conclusionCOPD in older adults has progressively become a global health challenge with rising prevalence and incidence rates. Although the death and DALY rates attributed to COPD have globally decreased in older adults, the absolute counts are rapidly increasing. The inequalities across different regions and countries underscore a multi-faceted approach to COPD management in older adults.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseasePulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveAgedAged, 80 and overDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceLife ExpectancyMalePrevalenceRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID39775322
PMCPMC11709235

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.