Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39803909›Full record

ArticleAnnals of medicine2025

Identification of early prognostic biomarkers in Severe Fever with Thrombocytopenia Syndrome using machine learning algorithms.

Jie Zhu, Jianmei Zhou, Chunhui Tao, Guomei Xia, Bingyan Liu, Xiaowei Zheng, Xu Li, Zhenhua Zhang

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Jie ZhuInstitute of Clinical Virology, Department of Infectious Diseases, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.ORCID 0000-0002-5477-172X
Jianmei ZhouInstitute of Clinical Virology, Department of Infectious Diseases, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
Chunhui TaoInstitute of Clinical Virology, Department of Infectious Diseases, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
Guomei XiaInstitute of Clinical Virology, Department of Infectious Diseases, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
Bingyan LiuInstitute of Clinical Virology, Department of Infectious Diseases, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
Xiaowei ZhengDepartment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, China.
Xu LiDepartment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
Zhenhua ZhangInstitute of Clinical Virology, Department of Infectious Diseases, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.ORCID 0000-0002-8480-9004

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveWe aimed at identifying acute phase biomarkers in Severe Fever with Thrombocytopenia Syndrome (SFTS), and to establish a model to predict mortality outcomes.

methodsA retrospective analysis was conducted on multicenter clinical data. Group-based trajectory modeling (GBTM) was utilized to demonstrate the overall trend of laboratory indicators and their correlation with mortality. Six different machine learning algorithms were employed to develop prognostic models based on the clinical features during the acute phase, which were reduced using Lasso regression.

resultsSeven indicators (ALT, AST, BUN, LDH, a-HBDH, DD, and PLT) at 7-10 days post-onset and their change slopes were found to be crucial during disease progression. These, along with other clinical features, were reduced to 8 variables using Lasso regression for model construction. The random forest model demonstrated the best performance in both internal validation (AUC: 0.961) and external validation (AUC: 0.948). Decision Curve Analysis indicated a good balance between model benefits and risks.

conclusionsa-HBDH and its change slope along with central nervous symptom manifestations within 7-10 days after onset accurately predicted mortality in SFTS. Various algorithms provided a comprehensive overview of disease progression and constructed more stable and efficient models.

Indexed as

Machine LearningSevere Fever with Thrombocytopenia SyndromeAdultAgedAlgorithmsBiomarkersDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesBiomarkerscritical phasegroup-based trajectory fittingmachine learning prognostic modelSevere Fever with Thrombocytopenia Syndrome

Identifiers

PMID39803909
PMCPMC11730770

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.