Evidence mapPaperPMID 39806461Full record

SynthesisBMC medical informatics and decision making2025

Predictive value of machine learning for the progression of gestational diabetes mellitus to type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Meng Zhao, Zhixin Yao, Yan Zhang, Lidan Ma, Wenquan Pang, Shuyin Ma, Yijun Xu, Lili Wei

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMC medical informatics and decision making, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Artificial Intelligence in Gestational Diabetes Care: A Systematic Review.Journal of diabetes science and technology · 2025
    Review
  10. Article
  11. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Meng ZhaoDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolic Diseases, The Affiliated Hospital of Medical College Qingdao University, Qingdao, Shandong, 266003, China.
Zhixin YaoDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolic Diseases, The Affiliated Hospital of Medical College Qingdao University, Qingdao, Shandong, 266003, China.
Yan ZhangDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolic Diseases, The Affiliated Hospital of Medical College Qingdao University, Qingdao, Shandong, 266003, China.
Lidan MaDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolic Diseases, The Affiliated Hospital of Medical College Qingdao University, Qingdao, Shandong, 266003, China.
Wenquan PangDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolic Diseases, The Affiliated Hospital of Medical College Qingdao University, Qingdao, Shandong, 266003, China.
Shuyin MaDepartment of Emergency Pediatric, The Affiliated Hospital of Medical College Qingdao University, Qingdao, Shandong, 266003, China.
Yijun XuDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolic Diseases, The Affiliated Hospital of Medical College Qingdao University, Qingdao, Shandong, 266003, China. xuyijun@qdu.edu.cn.
Lili WeiDepartment of Nursing, The Affiliated Hospital of Medical College Qingdao University, Qingdao, Shandong, 266003, China. 13573828157@163.com.

Funding

Quality of life care research fund of Chinese Association For Life Care HL20210145
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis systematic review aims to explore the early predictive value of machine learning (ML) models for the progression of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) to type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

methodsA comprehensive and systematic search was conducted in Pubmed, Cochrane, Embase, and Web of Science up to July 02, 2024. The quality of the studies included was assessed. The risk of bias was assessed through the prediction model risk of bias assessment tool and a graph was drawn accordingly. The meta-analysis was performed using Stata15.0.

resultsA total of 13 studies were included in the present review, involving 11,320 GDM patients and 22 ML models. The meta-analysis for ML models showed a pooled C-statistic of 0.82 (95% CI: 0.79 ~ 0.86), a pooled sensitivity of 0.76 (0.72 ~ 0.80), and a pooled specificity of 0.57 (0.50 ~ 0.65).

conclusionML has favorable diagnostic accuracy for the progression of GDM to T2DM. This provides evidence for the development of predictive tools with broader applicability.

Indexed as

Diabetes, GestationalDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Disease ProgressionMachine LearningFemaleHumansPredictive Value of TestsPregnancyClinical prediction modelGestational diabetes mellitusMachine learningSystematic reviewType 2 diabetes mellitus

Identifiers

PMID39806461
PMCPMC11727323

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.