Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39817066›Full record

ArticleJACC. Advances2024

PREVENT and Pooled Cohort Equations in Mortality Risk Prediction: National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey.

Naman S Shetty, Mokshad Gaonkar, Nirav Patel, Nehal Vekariya, Peng Li, Garima Arora, Pankaj Arora

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JACC. Advances, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07502703 (Validation of Remote Photoplethysmography), which is not on this map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07502703 not yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Validation of Remote Photoplethysmography (rPPG)-Derived Cardiovascular Parameters Against Standard Clinical Measurements and Risk Scores in a Community-Based Population in Semanan, Jakarta

TypeobservationalSponsorTarumanagara UniversityRan2026 to 2026Enrolled300ConditionsDyslipidemia, Angina (Stable), Coronary Artery Disease (CAD), Heart Disease
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Naman S ShettyDepartment of Anesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Mokshad GaonkarDivision of Cardiovascular Disease, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA.
Nirav PatelDivision of Cardiovascular Disease, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA.
Nehal VekariyaDivision of Cardiovascular Disease, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA.
Peng LiSchool of Nursing, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA.
Garima AroraDivision of Cardiovascular Disease, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA.
Pankaj AroraDivision of Cardiovascular Disease, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA.

Funding

MECHANISMS OF HYPERTENSION AND CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASEST32HL007457 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI Martin E Young · 1985 to 2026
$8.6M
Natriuretic Peptide-Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone System Rhythm Axis and Nocturnal Blood PressureR01HL160982 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI Pankaj Arora · 2022 to 2026
$3.7M
Atrial Natriuretic Peptide and Regulation of Cardiometabolic Health: A Genotype-Guided Human Physiological StudyR01HL163081 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI Pankaj Arora · 2022 to 2026
$3.7M
The Effects of Neprilysin Inhibition on Cardiometabolic Health in Black IndividualsR01HL163852 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI Pankaj Arora · 2022 to 2026
$3.6M
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL160982NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL163081NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL163852NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL007457
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The Predicting Risk of CVD Events (PREVENT) equations were developed to address limitations of the Pooled Cohort Equations (PCEs) in predicting atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk. The comparative effectiveness of the PREVENT equations versus the PCEs in predicting mortality risk remains unknown. Objectives: The purpose of this study was to compare the risk discrimination value of the PREVENT equations with the PCEs for predicting mortality. Methods: This retrospective cohort study included individuals aged 40 to 79 years, free of cardiovascular disease, from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1999-2004). The outcomes of interest were all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Harrell's C-statistics was used to examine risk discrimination. Results: In this study, including 4,342 individuals (median age: 50.3 [IQR: 44.3-59.6] years, 51.5% females, and 77.0% non-Hispanic White), the median 10-year ASCVD risk was 4.0% (IQR: 1.5%-9.9%) using the PCEs and 2.4% (IQR: 1.2%-5.3%) using the PREVENT equations. The PREVENT equations generated lower ASCVD risk estimates in 81.0% (79.4%-82.6%) of individuals relative to the PCEs, with the lower estimates disproportionately affecting males (97.7% [96.6%-98.8%]) and Black individuals (89.6% [87.3%-91.8%]). Using a 5.0% risk threshold, PREVENT and PCEs classified 26.7% (∼16.9 million U.S. individuals) and 43.4% (∼27.5 million U.S. individuals), respectively, as having a 10-year ASCVD risk >5%. Among the 10.2% classified as high risk by the PCEs, 96.2% were reclassified to a lower risk by PREVENT. The risk discrimination value for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality was similar using the PREVENT equations and the PCEs. Conclusions: The PREVENT equations provide similar risk discrimination values for mortality compared to the PCEs but estimate lower 10-year ASCVD risk. Replacing PCEs with the PREVENT equations could reduce statin eligibility in a significant number of individuals.

Indexed as

cardiac biomarkersmortalityPooled Cohort EquationsPREVENT equationsrisk reclassification

Identifiers

PMID39817066
PMCPMC11734013

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.