Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39826701›Full record

Trial reportAmerican heart journal2025

Individualized transfusion decisions to minimize adverse cardiovascular outcomes in patients with acute myocardial infarction and anemia.

Gerard T Portela, Gregory Ducrocq, Marnie Bertolet, John H Alexander, Shaun G Goodman, Simone Glynn, Jordan B Strom, Sonja A Swanson, Gilles Lemesle, Sunil V Rao and 10 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract readClinical Trial, Phase IIIMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in American heart journal, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02981407 (Myocardial Ischemia and Transfusion), which is not on this map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02981407 phase3completednot on this map

Myocardial Ischemia and Transfusion

TypeinterventionalSponsorRutgers, The State University of New JerseyRan2017 to 2023Enrolled3,506ConditionsMyocardial Infarction, AnemiaArmsRed Blood Cell Transfusion
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors.

Gerard T PortelaDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA.
Gregory DucrocqCardiology Department, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP), Hôpital, Bichat, Paris, France; FACT (French Alliance for Cardiovascular Trials), Paris, France.
Marnie BertoletDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA; Department of Biostatistics, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA.
John H AlexanderDuke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC.
Shaun G GoodmanSt. Michael's Hospital, Unity Health Toronto and Peter Munk Cardiac Centre, University Health Network, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario; Canadian VIGOUR Centre, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
Simone GlynnNational Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health (retired).
Jordan B StromRichard A. and Susan F. Smith Center for Outcomes Research in Cardiology, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA.
Sonja A SwansonDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA.
Gilles LemesleHeart and Lung Institute, University Hospital of Lille, CHU Lille, Lille, France; University of Lille, Lille, France; Institut Pasteur of Lille, Inserm U1011-EGID, Lille, France; FACT (French Alliance for Cardiovascular Trials), Paris, France.
Sunil V RaoNYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY.
Meechai TessaleeDepartment of Medicine, University of Chicago Medicine AdventHealth Hinsdale, Hinsdale, IL.
Tamar S PolonskyDepartment of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL.
Michael GoldfarbDivision of Cardiology, Jewish General Hospital, McGill University, Montreal, Canada.
Jay H TraverseMinneapolis Heart Institute Foundation, Abbott Northwestern Hospital, Minneapolis, MN.
Lynne UhlDepartment of Pathology, Division of Laboratory and Transfusion Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA; Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.
Brandon M HerbertDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA.
Johanne SilvainSorbonne Université, ACTION Group, INSERM UMRS1166, Hôpital Pitié-Salpêtrière (AP-HP), Paris, France.
Jeffrey L CarsonDivision of General Internal Medicine, Rutgers Robert Wood Johnson Medical School, New Brunswick, NJ.
Maria M BrooksDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA; Department of Biostatistics, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA. Electronic address: mbrooks@pitt.edu.
MINT Trial Investigators

Funding

Myocardial Ischemia and Transfusion (MINT) - CCCU01HL133817 · NHLBI · RUTGERS BIOMEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES · PI CARSON, JEFFREY LEE · 2016 to 2022
$17.1M
Myocardial Ischemia and Transfusion (MINT) - DCCU01HL132853 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI BROOKS, MARIA MORI · 2016 to 2022
$4.1M
Chronic Renal Insufficiency and Silent Progression of Aortic Stenosis (CRISP-AS)R01HL169517 · NHLBI · BETH ISRAEL DEACONESS MEDICAL CENTER · PI Jordan Blair Strom · 2023 to 2026
$3.1M
A Novel Approach to Examine Within-Class Therapeutic Exchangeability of MedicationsR01AG063937 · NIA · RUTGERS BIOMEDICAL/HEALTH SCIENCES-RBHS · PI GERHARD, TOBIAS · 2020 to 2024
$2.9M
Identification of the Components of Frailty Using Administrative Data and Metabolite ProfilingK23HL144907 · NHLBI · BETH ISRAEL DEACONESS MEDICAL CENTER · PI STROM, JORDAN BLAIR · 2019 to 2023
$1.0M
NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL144907NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL169517NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL132853NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL133817NIA NIH HHS R01 AG063937
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRisk-benefit tradeoffs between restrictive versus liberal red blood cell transfusion strategies may vary across individuals. This exploratory analysis aimed to derive and evaluate individualized treatment effects of defined transfusion strategies in patients with acute MI and anemia with the goal of minimizing adverse cardiovascular outcomes.

methodsThis study analyzed 3,447 (98.4%) patients randomized in the MINT (Myocardial Ischemia and Transfusion) trial between April 2017 to April 2023. Outcomes for this analysis included 30-day death or recurrent MI, death, and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE, a composite of death, MI, stroke, and ischemia-driven unscheduled revascularization). Machine learning methods were used to identify baseline patient characteristics that informed the individualized treatment effect of a restrictive versus liberal transfusion strategy for each patient. The expected population risk of an outcome under a scenario in which patients received their optimal treatment, as indicated by the individualized treatment effect, was contrasted with expected risks for universally applying a restrictive strategy or a liberal strategy to all patients.

resultsBaseline characteristics did not inform individualized treatment effects on 30-day death and death or MI, suggesting minimal heterogeneity in treatment effect on these outcomes. An algorithm for estimating the individualized treatment effect on 30-day MACE included 12 baseline factors. If all patients received the optimal treatment as indicated by their estimated individualized treatment effect, the predicted risk of 30-day MACE in the sample population was 15.2% (95% CI 14.2%-16.2%). This corresponded to 4.0 (difference: -4.0%, 95% CI -5.8, -2.1) and 2.3 (difference: -2.3%, 95% CI -3.7, -0.9) percentage point risk reductions compared to applying a restrictive or liberal strategy to everyone respectively.

conclusionsThe MINT trial average treatment effect, favoring a liberal strategy, may be optimal to minimize risk of 30-day death and death or MI for acute MI patients with anemia represented in the MINT sample as no individualized treatment effects were estimated on these outcomes. However, individualized transfusion strategy decisions have potential to reduce risk of 30-day MACE. External validation of the MACE algorithm is required before clinical use.

trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02981407, https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT02981407.

Indexed as

AnemiaErythrocyte TransfusionMyocardial InfarctionAgedFemaleHumansMachine LearningMaleMiddle AgedPrecision MedicineRisk Assessment

Identifiers

PMID39826701
PMCPMC12696691

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.