Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39846757›Full record

ArticleTherapeutic drug monitoring2025

Multiple Model Optimal Sampling Promotes Accurate Vancomycin Area-Under-the-Curve Estimation Using a Single Sample in Critically Ill Children.

Kevin J Downes, Anna Sharova, Judith Malone, Audrey R Odom John, Athena F Zuppa, Michael N Neely

Abstract read
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Article in Therapeutic drug monitoring, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Kevin J DownesCenter for Clinical Pharmacology, Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.ORCID 0000-0001-5015-8146
Anna SharovaCenter for Clinical Pharmacology, Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Judith MaloneCenter for Clinical Pharmacology, Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Audrey R Odom JohnDivision of Infectious Diseases, Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Athena F ZuppaCenter for Clinical Pharmacology, Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Michael N NeelyChildren's Hospital Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California; and.

Funding

Optimizing Vancomycin Therapy in ChildrenK23HD091365 · NICHD · CHILDREN'S HOSP OF PHILADELPHIA · PI DOWNES, KEVIN JAMES · 2018 to 2022
$747k
Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development K23HD091365NICHD NIH HHS K23 HD091365
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundArea-under-the-curve (AUC)-directed vancomycin therapy is recommended; however, AUC estimation in critically ill children is difficult owing to the need for multiple samples and lack of informative models.

methodsThe authors prospectively enrolled critically ill children receiving intravenous (IV) vancomycin for suspected infection and evaluated the accuracy of Bayesian estimation of AUC from a single, optimally timed sample. During the dosing interval, when clinical therapeutic drug monitoring was performed, an optimally timed sample was collected, which was determined for each subject using an established population pharmacokinetic model and the multiple model optimal function of Pmetrics, a nonparametric population pharmacokinetic modeling software. The model was embedded in InsightRx NOVA (InsightRx, Inc.) for individual Bayesian estimation of AUC using the optimal sample versus all available samples (optimally timed sample + clinical samples).

resultsEighteen children were included. The optimal sampling time to inform Bayesian estimation of vancomycin AUC was highly variable, with trough samples being optimally informative in 32% of children. Optimal samples were collected by clinical nurses within 15 minutes of the goal time in 14 of 18 participants (78%). Compared with all samples, Bayesian AUC estimation with optimal samples had a mean bias of 0.4% (±5.9%) and mean imprecision of 4.6% (±3.6%). Bias of optimal sampling was <10% for 17 of the 18 participants (94%). When estimating AUC using only a peak sample (≤2 hours after dose) or only a trough (≤30 minutes before next dose), bias was <10% for 78% and 86% of participants, respectively.

conclusionsOptimal sampling supports accurate Bayesian estimation of vancomycin AUC from a single plasma sample in critically ill children.

Indexed as

Anti-Bacterial AgentsVancomycinAdolescentArea Under CurveBayes TheoremChildChild, PreschoolCritical IllnessDrug MonitoringFemaleHumansInfantMaleModels, BiologicalProspective StudiesAnti-Bacterial AgentsVancomycinBayesian estimationlimited samplingpediatric infectious diseasessepsistherapeutic drug monitoring

Identifiers

PMID39846757
PMCPMC12254021

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.