Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39869807›Full record

ReviewProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2025

Is Ockham's razor losing its edge? New perspectives on the principle of model parsimony.

Marina Dubova, Suyog Chandramouli, Gerd Gigerenzer, Peter Grünwald, William Holmes, Tania Lombrozo, Marco Marelli, Sebastian Musslick, Bruno Nicenboim, Lauren N Ross and 5 more

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Illusions of Understanding in the Sciences.Computational brain & behavior · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Video game engines as the new "virtual" Skinner box.Journal of the experimental analysis of behavior · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Dialogues about the practice of science.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  8. Automating the practice of science: Opportunities, challenges, and implications.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  9. People Evaluate Agents Based on the Algorithms That Drive Their Behavior.Open mind : discoveries in cognitive science · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Marina DubovaCognitive Science Program, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405.ORCID 0000-0001-5264-0489
Suyog ChandramouliDepartment of Information and Communications Engineering, Aalto University, Espoo FI-00076, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-3450-1909
Gerd GigerenzerMax Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin 14195, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-6163-5419
Peter GrünwaldCentrum Wiskunde & Informatica, Amsterdam 1098 XG, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-9832-9936
William HolmesCognitive Science Program, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405.
Tania LombrozoDepartment of Psychology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544.ORCID 0000-0001-5637-1431
Marco MarelliDepartment of Psychology, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan 20162, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-5831-5441
Sebastian MusslickInstitute of Cognitive Science, Osnabrück University, Osnabrück 49090, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-8896-639X
Bruno NicenboimDepartment of Cognitive Science and Artificial Intelligence, Tilburg University, Tilburg 5037 AB, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-5176-3943
Lauren N RossDepartment of Logic and Philosophy of Science, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697.
Richard ShiffrinCognitive Science Program, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405.ORCID 0000-0002-3708-3212
Martha WhiteDepartment of Computing Science, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB T6G1T6, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-5356-2950
Eric-Jan Wagenmakers *Psychological Methods, Psychology Research Institute, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam 1018 WT, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-1596-1034
Paul-Christian Bürkner *Department of Statistics, Technical University Dortmund University, Dortmund 44227, Germany.
Sabina J Sloman *Department of Computer Science, University of Manchester, Manchester M13 9PL, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-7479-4286

Funding

Bill and Ann Templeton Foundation (The Bill & Ann Templeton Foundation, Inc.) 63021EC | European Research Council (ERC) 01087053Finnish Center for Artificial Intelligence (FCAI) 328813National Science Foundation (NSF) 1945647Nokia Foundation Jorma Ollila Mobility GrantSchmidt Family Foundation (The Schmidt Family Foundation) Schmidt Science FellowsUK Research and Innovation (UKRI) EP/W002973/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The preference for simple explanations, known as the parsimony principle, has long guided the development of scientific theories, hypotheses, and models. Yet recent years have seen a number of successes in employing highly complex models for scientific inquiry (e.g., for 3D protein folding or climate forecasting). In this paper, we reexamine the parsimony principle in light of these scientific and technological advancements. We review recent developments, including the surprising benefits of modeling with more parameters than data, the increasing appreciation of the context-sensitivity of data and misspecification of scientific models, and the development of new modeling tools. By integrating these insights, we reassess the utility of parsimony as a proxy for desirable model traits, such as predictive accuracy, interpretability, effectiveness in guiding new research, and resource efficiency. We conclude that more complex models are sometimes essential for scientific progress, and discuss the ways in which parsimony and complexity can play complementary roles in scientific modeling practice.

Indexed as

Models, TheoreticalSciencecomplexityOckham’s razorparsimonyscientific modeling

Identifiers

PMID39869807
PMCPMC11804645

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.