Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39879183›Full record

ArticlePloS one2025

Trajectory of the arterial-alveolar oxygen gradient in COPD for a decade.

Kazuma Nagata, Susumu Sato, Kiyoshi Uemasu, Naoya Tanabe, Atsuyasu Sato, Shigeo Muro, Toyohiro Hirai

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Kazuma NagataDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Kyoto, Japan.
Susumu SatoDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Kyoto, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-9626-1090
Kiyoshi UemasuDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Kyoto, Japan.
Naoya TanabeDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Kyoto, Japan.
Atsuyasu SatoDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Kyoto, Japan.
Shigeo MuroDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, Nara Medical University, Kashihara, Nara, Japan.
Toyohiro HiraiDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Kyoto, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-7431-9044

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChronic respiratory failure (CRF) is a critical complication in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and is characterized by an increase in the arterial-alveolar oxygen gradient (A-aDO2). The long-term trajectory and prognostic significance remain unclear. This study aimed to assess the prognostic impact of A-aDO2 and elucidate its trajectory over ten years.

methodsWe enrolled 170 outpatients with COPD from a prospective cohort study. Arterial blood gas (ABG) analyses were conducted annually for ten years while monitoring the development of CRF.

results157 patients completed the observation period, of whom 21 developed CRF (CRF group) and 136 did not (non-CRF group). In the CRF group, there was a gradual increase in A-aDO2 along with decreases in partial pressure of oxygen (PaO2) and partial pressure of carbon dioxide (PaCO2) over ten years, although there were no changes in the non-CRF group. The CRF group had higher baseline A-aDO2 and higher ΔA-aDO2 in the first year than the non-CRF group (3.76 vs. 0.42 Torr/year, p = 0.030). Kaplan-Meier analyses, and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed that both baseline A-aDO2 and ΔA-aDO2 were significantly associated with the development of CRF. Retrospective tracking from the initiation of long-term oxygen therapy (LTOT) revealed significant increases in A-aDO2 from 5 years prior to LTOT initiation in the CRF group when compared to the non-CRF group.

conclusionsAn increasing trend in A-aDO2 may be a significant sign for the future development of CRF. A transition of the annual change of A-aDO2 from a stable state to a deterioration phase can serve as a prognostic factor for developing CRF within 5 years.

Indexed as

OxygenPulmonary AlveoliPulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveRespiratory InsufficiencyAgedArteriesBlood Gas AnalysisFemaleHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateMaleMiddle AgedPartial PressurePrognosisProspective StudiesOxygen

Identifiers

PMID39879183
PMCPMC11778628

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.