Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39899430›Full record

Observational studyESC heart failure2025

Growth differentiation factor-15 and N-terminal pro-BNP in acute heart failure with preserved ejection fraction.

Yoichiro Otaki, Tetsu Watanabe, Mari Shimizu, Shingo Tachibana, Junya Sato, Yuta Kobayashi, Harutoshi Tamura, Shigehiko Kato, Satoshi Nishiyama, Hiroki Takahashi and 2 more

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in ESC heart failure, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Yoichiro OtakiDepartment of Cardiology, Pulmonology, and Nephrology, Yamagata University School of Medicine, Yamagata, Japan.
Tetsu WatanabeDepartment of Cardiology, Pulmonology, and Nephrology, Yamagata University School of Medicine, Yamagata, Japan.
Mari ShimizuFaculty of medicine, Yamagata University School of Medicine, Yamagata, Japan.
Shingo TachibanaDepartment of Cardiology, Pulmonology, and Nephrology, Yamagata University School of Medicine, Yamagata, Japan.
Junya SatoDepartment of Cardiology, Pulmonology, and Nephrology, Yamagata University School of Medicine, Yamagata, Japan.
Yuta KobayashiDepartment of Cardiology, Pulmonology, and Nephrology, Yamagata University School of Medicine, Yamagata, Japan.
Harutoshi TamuraDepartment of Cardiology, Pulmonology, and Nephrology, Yamagata University School of Medicine, Yamagata, Japan.
Shigehiko KatoDepartment of Cardiology, Pulmonology, and Nephrology, Yamagata University School of Medicine, Yamagata, Japan.
Satoshi NishiyamaDepartment of Cardiology, Pulmonology, and Nephrology, Yamagata University School of Medicine, Yamagata, Japan.
Hiroki TakahashiDepartment of Cardiology, Pulmonology, and Nephrology, Yamagata University School of Medicine, Yamagata, Japan.
Takanori ArimotoDepartment of Cardiology, Pulmonology, and Nephrology, Yamagata University School of Medicine, Yamagata, Japan.
Masafumi WatanabeDepartment of Cardiology, Pulmonology, and Nephrology, Yamagata University School of Medicine, Yamagata, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsHeart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) continues to be an increasingly common health problem associated with a high mortality rate. Elevated levels of Growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF15) and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) are reportedly associated with poor clinical outcomes in a broad range of cardiovascular diseases. The aim of the present study was to examine the effect of the combined assessment of these markers on clinical outcomes in patients with HFpEF.

methodsThis study is the prospective observational study. We measured the serum levels of GDF15 and NT-proBNP in 643 patients (mean age 73 ± 12, 42% females). All patients were prospectively followed up for a median period of 1998 days. Total 132 HF-related events and 88 all-cause deaths occurred during the follow-up period.

resultsMultivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis demonstrated that both serum GDF15 and NT-proBNP levels were independently associated with HF-related events after adjustment for confounding risk factors (GDF15: hazard ratio, 1.72; 95% confidence interval, 1.35-2.19; P < 0.0001 and NT-proBNP: hazard ratio, 1.63; 95% confidence interval, 1.25-2.13; P = 0.0003). Serum GDF15 levels improved the prediction capacity for HF-related events (0.7405 vs. 0.7190; P = 0.0422), with a significant net reclassification index (0.2724) and integrated discrimination improvement (0.0246). The C indices of GDF15 for HF-related events and all-cause deaths were significantly larger than those of NT-proBNP in men (HF-related events: 0.7389 vs. 0.6721; P = 0.0393, and all-cause deaths: 0.6922 vs.0.6109; P = 0.0262) but not in women. The combination of GDF15 and NT-proBNP levels stratified patients with HFpEF, identifying those at a high risk for HF-related events and all-cause deaths.

conclusionsSerum GDF15 could be an additional prognostic information to NT-proBNP in patients with HFpEF. The prognostic abilities of serum GDF15 and NT-proBNP differed according to sex. These markers were the feasible markers for patients with HFpEF, identifying those at a high risk for HF-related events and all-cause deaths.

Indexed as

Growth Differentiation Factor 15Heart FailureNatriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide FragmentsStroke VolumeAcute DiseaseAgedAged, 80 and overBiomarkersFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMalePrognosisProspective StudiesRisk FactorsBiomarkersGDF15 protein, humanGrowth Differentiation Factor 15Natriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide Fragmentspro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76)clinical outcomesGDF15HFpEFNT‐proBNP

Identifiers

PMID39899430
PMCPMC11911576

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.