Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39901253›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2025

Association of accelerated phenotypic aging, genetic risk, and lifestyle with progression of type 2 diabetes: a prospective study using multi-state model.

Lulu Pan, Yahang Liu, Chen Huang, Yifang Huang, Ruilang Lin, Kecheng Wei, Ye Yao, Guoyou Qin, Yongfu Yu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

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  15. Editorial: Epidemiology of diabetes in Asia.Frontiers in clinical diabetes and healthcare · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Lulu Pan *Department of Biostatistics, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety of Ministry of Education, NHC Key Laboratory for Health Technology Assessment, School of Public Health, Fudan University, 138 Yi Xue Yuan Road, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Yahang Liu *Department of Biostatistics, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety of Ministry of Education, NHC Key Laboratory for Health Technology Assessment, School of Public Health, Fudan University, 138 Yi Xue Yuan Road, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Chen HuangDepartment of Biostatistics, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety of Ministry of Education, NHC Key Laboratory for Health Technology Assessment, School of Public Health, Fudan University, 138 Yi Xue Yuan Road, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Yifang HuangDepartment of Biostatistics, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety of Ministry of Education, NHC Key Laboratory for Health Technology Assessment, School of Public Health, Fudan University, 138 Yi Xue Yuan Road, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Ruilang LinDepartment of Biostatistics, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety of Ministry of Education, NHC Key Laboratory for Health Technology Assessment, School of Public Health, Fudan University, 138 Yi Xue Yuan Road, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Kecheng WeiDepartment of Biostatistics, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety of Ministry of Education, NHC Key Laboratory for Health Technology Assessment, School of Public Health, Fudan University, 138 Yi Xue Yuan Road, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Ye YaoDepartment of Biostatistics, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety of Ministry of Education, NHC Key Laboratory for Health Technology Assessment, School of Public Health, Fudan University, 138 Yi Xue Yuan Road, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Guoyou Qin *Department of Biostatistics, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety of Ministry of Education, NHC Key Laboratory for Health Technology Assessment, School of Public Health, Fudan University, 138 Yi Xue Yuan Road, Shanghai, 200032, China. gyqin@fudan.edu.cn.
Yongfu Yu *Department of Biostatistics, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety of Ministry of Education, NHC Key Laboratory for Health Technology Assessment, School of Public Health, Fudan University, 138 Yi Xue Yuan Road, Shanghai, 200032, China. yu@fudan.edu.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAging is a major risk factor for type 2 diabetes (T2D), but individuals of the same chronological age may vary in their biological aging rate. The associations of Phenotypic Age Acceleration (PhenoAgeAccel), a new accelerated biological aging indicator based on clinical chemistry biomarkers, with the risk of dynamic progression remain unclear. We aimed to assess these associations and examine whether these associations varied by genetic risk and lifestyle.

methodsWe conducted a prospective cohort study that included 376,083 adults free of T2D and diabetes-related events at baseline in UK Biobank. PhenoAgeAccel > 0 and ≤ 0 were defined as biologically older and younger than chronological age. The outcomes of interest were incident T2D, diabetic complications, and mortality. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and population attributable fractions (PAFs) for these associations were calculated using multi-state model.

resultsDuring a median follow-up of 13.7 years, 17,615 participants developed T2D, of whom, 4,524 subsequently developed complications, and 28,373 died. Being biologically older was associated with increased risks of transitions from baseline to T2D (HR 1.77, 95% CI 1.71-1.82; PAF 24.8 [95% CI 23.5-26.2]), from T2D to diabetic complications (1.10, 1.04-1.17; 4.4 [1.4-7.4]), from baseline to all-cause death (1.53, 1.49-1.57; 17.6 [16.6-18.6]), from T2D to all-cause death (1.14, 1.03-1.26; 7.4 [1.8-13.0]), and from diabetic complications to all-cause death (1.32, 1.15-1.51; 15.4 [7.5-23.2]) than being biologically younger. Additionally, participants with older biological age and high genetic risk had a higher risk of incident T2D (4.76,4.43-5.12;18.2 [17.5-19.0]) than those with younger biological age and low genetic risk. Compared with participants with younger biological age and healthy lifestyle, those with older biological age and unhealthy lifestyle had higher risks of transitions in the T2D trajectory, with HRs and PAFs ranging from 1.34 (1.16-1.55; 3.7 [1.8-5.6]) to 5.39 (5.01-5.79; 13.0 [12.4-13.6]).

conclusionsPhenoAgeAccel was consistently associated with an increased risk of all transitions in T2D progression. It has the potential to be combined with genetic risk to identify early T2D incidence risk and may guide interventions throughout T2D progression while tracking their effectiveness.

Indexed as

AgingDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Genetic Predisposition to DiseaseLife StyleAdultAgedDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPhenotypeProspective StudiesRisk FactorsUnited KingdomDiabetic complicationGenetic riskHealthy lifestyleMulti-state modelPhenotypic agingType 2 diabetes

Identifiers

PMID39901253
PMCPMC11792689

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.