Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39901840›Full record

ArticleInternational health2025

Global trends and projections of high BMI burden and its independent impact on atrial fibrillation and flutter.

YuBin He, YaPing Ren, YaYun Zhang, Zixiong Zhu, Xuewen Li

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in International health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

YuBin HeDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, No. 99 Longcheng Street, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030032, China.ORCID 0009-0009-6992-6809
YaPing RenDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, No. 99 Longcheng Street, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030032, China.
YaYun ZhangDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, No. 99 Longcheng Street, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030032, China.
Zixiong ZhuDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, No. 99 Longcheng Street, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030032, China.
Xuewen LiDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, No. 99 Longcheng Street, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030032, China.ORCID 0000-0003-1610-9812

Funding

Fundamental Research Program of Shanxi Province 202303021212362
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis study evaluates changes in the burden of high body mass index (BMI) and its impact on atrial fibrillation and flutter (AF/AFL) using the 2021 Global Burden of Disease database.

methodsMortality and disability-adjusted life years rates were analysed globally, considering age, sex, geography and the Socio-demographic Index (SDI). Decomposition and frontier analyses assessed the impact of epidemiological drivers and SDI on the burden. The nordpred model validated the predictions.

resultsThe burden of high BMI is now 2.5 times greater than 30 y ago and will continue to increase over the next 20 y, heavily impacting cardiovascular and metabolic diseases. High BMI-related AF/AFL also poses a significant burden, especially in developed regions. Men's burden grows faster than women's. Decomposition analysis shows epidemiological changes mainly drive burden increases, while in women, population growth is more significant. Frontier analysis indicates that the gap between actual burden and theoretical optimal value has widened with increasing SDI, except in countries such as Bulgaria and the Czech Republic.

conclusionsOver the past 30 y, the overall burden of high BMI and its impact on AF/AFL have increased significantly, highlighting the need for targeted public health strategies.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationAtrial FlutterBody Mass IndexGlobal HealthObesityAdultAgedAged, 80 and overCost of IllnessDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseHumansMaleMiddle AgedSex Factorsage-standardized DALYs rateage-standardized mortality rateatrial fibrillation and flutterdecomposition and frontier analysishigh body mass index

Identifiers

PMID39901840
PMCPMC12212217

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.