Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39921760›Full record

ReviewJournal of cancer research and clinical oncology2025

Global and China trends and forecasts of disease burden for female lung Cancer from 1990 to 2021: a study based on the global burden of disease 2021 database.

Bilu Li, Yuyan Wu, Yanhong Zhang, Chengyun Hu, Xue Li, Shanshan Luo, Chenyu Sun, Iyad Yousef, Yefei Wang, Chaoliang Tang

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Journal of cancer research and clinical oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Global, regional, and national burden of disease in neck pain: statistical analysis of incidence, prevalence, and DALYS, with projections to 2036.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Bilu Li *Department of Anesthesiology, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui Province, China.
Yuyan Wu *Department of Nursing, The First People's Hospital of Hefei, Anhui, China.
Yanhong Zhang *Department of Anesthesiology, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui Province, China.
Chengyun HuDepartment of Anesthesiology, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui Province, China.
Xue LiDepartment of Anesthesiology, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui Province, China.
Shanshan LuoDepartment of Anesthesiology, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui Province, China.
Chenyu SunInternational Medical Department, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Furong Road 678, Hefei, 230601, China.
Iyad YousefDepartment of Physical Education, Birzeit University, Ramallah, State of Palestine, Palestine.
Yefei WangDepartment of Anesthesiology, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui Province, China. 58567827@qq.com.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0003-6168-7635
Chaoliang TangDepartment of Anesthesiology, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui Province, China. chaolt@ustc.edu.cn.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1936-028X

Funding

Scientific Research Plan Project of Anhui Province of China No. 2022AH020076the Development of Science and Technology of Hubei Province , NoCXPJJH12000005-07-115the Natural Science Foundation of Anhui Province of China No. 2208085Y32
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn recent years, due to various risk factors, the incidence, prevalence, and mortality rates of female lung cancer have been increasing in both China and globally. This has become a significant public health challenge worldwide. Lung cancer not only poses a severe threat to women's health but also places a heavy burden on families and society.

objectiveTo conduct an in-depth analysis of the trends in disease burden for female lung cancer in China and globally from 1990 to 2021 and to forecast the next 15 years (2022-2037). The aim is to provide a reliable theoretical basis and reference value for clinical research and practice in female lung cancer and offer guidance for resource allocation and policy-making in society.

methodsBased on the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database, we analyzed the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of lung cancer in China and globally from 1990 to 2021. These metrics were stratified by gender (BOTH, MALE, FEMALE), and the average annual percentage change (AAPC) was calculated for each metric over this period. The JOINPOINT regression model was used to analyze the trends in female lung cancer in China and globally from 1990 to 2021. The ARIMA model was applied to forecast the changes in age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rates (ASDR) for the next fifteen years (2022-2037) for female lung cancer in China and globally.

resultsThe results indicate an upward trend in incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs for lung cancer in China. Globally, the prevalence of lung cancer showed an increasing trend, while the incidence, mortality, and DALYs demonstrated a declining trend. Both in China and globally, the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALY trends for female lung cancer were higher than those for males. From 1990 to 2021, the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs of female lung cancer in China exhibited an upward trend, with AAPC growth rates of 1.151%, 2.086%, 0.508%, and 0.210%, respectively. Similarly, globally, the incidence, prevalence, and mortality of female lung cancer also showed an upward trend, with growth rates of 0.576%, 1.123%, and 0.276%, respectively, while DALYs showed a slight decline with an AAPC of -0.029%.

conclusionAlthough the overall disease burden of female lung cancer is not as high as that of males, the growth rate for female lung cancer is significantly higher than that for males both in China and globally. The overall disease burden and the growth rates of incidence and prevalence of female lung cancer in China are higher than the global average.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseaseLung NeoplasmsAgedChinaCost of IllnessDatabases, FactualDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleForecastingGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceAAPCFemale lung cancerGBD databaseJOINPOINT regression

Identifiers

PMID39921760
PMCPMC11807053

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.