Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39922873›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

The spatio-temporal trend of climate and characterization of drought in Borana Zone, Ethiopia.

Sewmehon Sisay Fanta, Mamuye Busier Yesuf, Mulatu Tesfahun Merkos, Tamene Adugna Demissie

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Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Sewmehon Sisay FantaFaculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Jimma University, 378, Jimma, Ethiopia. sewmehon.sisay@ju.edu.et.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9237-7419
Mamuye Busier YesufFaculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Jimma University, 378, Jimma, Ethiopia.
Mulatu Tesfahun MerkosFaculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Jimma University, 378, Jimma, Ethiopia.
Tamene Adugna DemissieFaculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Jimma University, 378, Jimma, Ethiopia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This research assessed the Borana Zone's climate trends and drought characteristics from 1991 to 2050. Using Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA), we quantified the climate and drought changes. The standard Precipitation and Evaporation index (SPEI) and self calibrated Palmer's Droguht Severity Index (scPDSI) were selected to compute the drought's magnitude. Precipitation significantly decreased from 1991 to 2020, with a variation from 2021 to 2050. Drought indices generally showed a decreasing trend. The short-term drought index (SPEI3) in the Mid-Moist (MM) category experienced the greatest decline, with a slope of - 0.055/year during the reference period. Under RCP4.5 scenarios, the SPEI3 for the Extremely-Most (EM) class showed the steepest decline at - 1.827/year. For RCP8.5, MM categories displayed significant reductions, with annual slopes of - 0.073, 0.021, and - 0.14 for SPEI3, SPEI12, and scPDSI, respectively. The moisture intensity also showed a diminishing trend, with scPDSI projected to decrease by 40.47% and 20.77% under the two emission scenarios. During the reference period, Near Normal (NN) moisture frequency varied from 71.39% to 82.81%, but is expected to decrease by 12% and 8% under the two scenarios. The adverse impacts can be mitigated by building the capacity of drought-vulnerable community.

Indexed as

Borana zoneDrought categoriesDrought indicesTrend

Identifiers

PMID39922873
PMCPMC11807169

What Socratic holds

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