Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39930307›Full record

ReviewInterdisciplinary sciences, computational life sciences2025

Prediction of Multimorbidity Network Evolution in Middle-Aged and Elderly Population Based on CE-GCN.

Yushi Che, Yiqiao Wang

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Interdisciplinary sciences, computational life sciences, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Yushi CheSchool of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100029, China.
Yiqiao WangSchool of Mathematics, Statistics and Mechanics, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China. yqwang@bjut.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5322-1312

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 12071048National Natural Science Foundation of China 12161141006National Natural Science Foundation of China 12422113
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeWith the evolving disease spectrum, chronic diseases have emerged as a primary burden and a leading cause of mortality. Due to the aging population and the nature of chronic illnesses, patients often suffer from multimorbidity. Predicting the likelihood of these patients developing specific diseases in the future based on their current health status and age factors is a crucial task in multimorbidity research.

methodsWe propose an algorithm, CE-GCN, which integrates age sequence and embeds Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) into Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), utilizing the topological feature of network common neighbors to predict links in dynamic complex networks. First, we constructed a disease evolution network spanning from ages 45 to 90 years old using disease information from 3333 patients. Then, we introduced an innovative approach for link prediction aimed at uncovering relationships between various diseases. This method takes into account patients' age to construct the evolutionary structure of the disease network, thereby predicting the connections between chronic diseases.

resultsResults from experiments conducted on real networks indicate that our model surpasses others regarding both MRR and MAP. The proposed method accurately reveals associations between diseases and effectively captures future disease risks.

conclusionOur model can serve as an objective and convenient computer-aided tool to identify hidden relationships between diseases in order to assist healthcare professionals in taking early disease interventions, which can substantially lower the costs associated with treating multimorbidity and enhance the quality of life for patients suffering from chronic conditions.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsMultimorbidityNeural Networks, ComputerAgedAged, 80 and overChronic DiseaseFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedEvolving networkLink predictionMultimorbidity

Identifiers

PMID39930307
PMCPMC12106578

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.