ArticlePancreas2025
A Nomogram for Predicting the Transition From Recurrent Acute Pancreatitis to Chronic Pancreatitis.
Article in Pancreas, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
0 citing papers in PubMed.
No citing paper in PubMed yet.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
11 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectivesAcute pancreatitis, recurrent acute pancreatitis, and chronic pancreatitis are recognized as a continuum of pancreatic diseases. Recurrence increases the risk of progression to chronic pancreatitis. The aim of this study was to search for clinical features that may promote the progression of chronic pancreatitis in patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis. MATERIALS AND
methodsWe retrospectively reviewed patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV database. They were divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort. A nomogram was constructed based on clinical features during the second hospitalization. The discrimination and calibration of the nomogram were evaluated using the concordance index, area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve, and calibration plots.
resultsA total of 432 recurrent acute pancreatitis patients were evaluated, of which 93 (21.53%) were diagnosed with chronic pancreatitis later. Age, biliary pancreatitis, admission interval, alcohol dependence, lipase, and platelet were selected. The concordance index was 0.717 (95% confidence interval: 0.691-0.743) for the training cohort and 0.718 (95% confidence interval: 0.662-0.774) for the validation cohort. The area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve was >0.7 over 1000 days.
conclusionsA nomogram was developed and validated to evaluate the transition from recurrent acute pancreatitis to chronic pancreatitis.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What Socratic holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.