Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40025716›Full record

ArticleJournal of Alzheimer's disease : JAD2025

Understanding causal estimates of smoking behaviors for cognitive impairment: A Mendelian randomization study.

Mingzhou Fu, Herong Wang, Erin B Ware, Kelly M Bakulski

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of Alzheimer's disease : JAD, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Mingzhou FuDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8584-4314
Herong WangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Erin B WareSurvey Research Center, Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Kelly M BakulskiDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9605-6337

Funding

Statistical Data EnclaveP30AG012846 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI VICKI A. FREEDMAN · 1999 to 2026
$23.2M
Michigan Alzheimer's Disease Core CenterP30AG053760 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI LIEBERMAN, ANDREW P · 2016 to 2020
$10.1M
Identifying modifiable aspects of gene-by-environment interplay in later-life cognitive declineRF1AG055654 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI FAUL, JESSICA, GALAMA, TITUS JOHANNES · 2017 to 2018
$4.3M
DNA Methylation, Genetics, and Modifiable Risk Factors of Dementia in a Nationally Representative, Multi-Ethnic Cohort - Diversity SupplementR01AG067592 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI BAKULSKI, KELLY, WARE, ERIN BAKSHIS · 2020 to 2025
$3.8M
Racial inequalities in health throughout adulthood: The cumulative impact of neighborhood chemical and non-chemical stressors on epigenomic pathwaysR01MD013299 · NIMHD · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI HICKEN, MARGARET TAKAKO · 2018 to 2022
$3.7M
Prenatal exposure to metals and risk for Autism Spectrum Disorder in MARBLES and EARLIR01ES025531 · NIEHS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI VOLK, HEATHER E · 2016 to 2020
$3.2M
Folic Acid Prevention Pathways for ASD in High Risk FamiliesR01ES025574 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA AT DAVIS · PI SCHMIDT, REBECCA JEAN · 2015 to 2019
$3.1M
Characterizing disparities in late-onset Alzheimer's disease risk through polygenic risk and epidemiologic factors in the Health and Retirement SurveyR01AG055406 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI BAKULSKI, KELLY, WARE, ERIN BAKSHIS · 2017 to 2020
$1.7M
NIA NIH HHS P30 AG012846NIA NIH HHS P30 AG053760NIA NIH HHS R01 AG055406NIA NIH HHS R01 AG067592NIA NIH HHS RF1 AG055654NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES025531NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES025574NIMHD NIH HHS R01 MD013299
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BackgroundSmoking has been linked to dementia, but the causal relationship has not been well established.ObjectiveOur study used a Mendelian randomization (MR) framework to examine the impact of different stages and kinds of smoking behavior on cognitive status.MethodsWe analyzed a Health and Retirement Study sample, categorizing cognitive status into three levels (normal, cognitive impairment-no dementia, dementia) and using self-reported smoking behaviors. We used multivariable logistic regressions to examine associations and MR to examine potential causality. We used smoking polygenic scores as instruments for one-sample MR and validated through two-sample MR with genome-wide association study summary statistics.ResultsCurrent smoking was associated with 1.33 times higher odds of cognitive impairment-no dementia (95% CI: 1.06, 1.65) in European ancestry participants (N = 7708). Among participants who had ever smoked, each 10 additional year of smoking was associated with 1.11 times higher odds of cognitive impairment-no dementia (95% CI: 1.10, 1.22). Using ever smoking polygenic score as a validated instrumental variable, we detected strong causal effects of ever smoking, current smoking, and total smoking years on cognitive impairment (all p < 0.001). Two-sample MR showed no evidence of causality between smoking behaviors and Alzheimer's disease. No causality was observed in the African ancestry sample (N = 1928).ConclusionsSmoking behavior was cross-sectionally associated with and potentially on the causal pathway of cognitive impairment-no dementia in the larger European ancestry sample. However, no associations were observed with dementia, and the findings did not replicate across ancestry groups. The causal relationship between smoking and cognitive health remains suggestive but not conclusive. Promoting smoking cessation remains a prudent public health strategy to prevent numerous health conditions, and its potential impact on cognitive health warrants further investigation.

Indexed as

Cognitive DysfunctionMendelian Randomization AnalysisSmokingAgedAged, 80 and overCausalityFemaleGenome-Wide Association StudyHumansMaleMiddle AgedWhite PeopleAlzheimer's diseasedementiapublic healthsmoking

Identifiers

PMID40025716
PMCPMC12687468

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.