Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40041421›Full record

ArticlePrecision clinical medicine2025

Predictive model for daily risk alerts in sepsis patients in the ICU: visualization and clinical analysis of risk indicators.

Hao Yang, Jiaxi Li, Chi Zhang, Alejandro Pazos Sierra, Bairong Shen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Precision clinical medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Hao YangInformation Center, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China.
Jiaxi LiDepartment of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, Jinniu Maternity and Child Health Hospital of Chengdu, Chengdu 610031, China.
Chi ZhangJoint Laboratory of Artificial Intelligence for Critical Care Medicine, Department of Critical Care Medicine and Institutes for Systems Genetics, Frontiers Science Center for Disease-related Molecular Network, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China.
Alejandro Pazos SierraDepartment of Computer Science and Information Technologies, Research Center for Information and Communications Technologies, University of A Coruña, Biomedical Research Institute of a Coruña, A Coruña 15071, Spain.
Bairong ShenJoint Laboratory of Artificial Intelligence for Critical Care Medicine, Department of Critical Care Medicine and Institutes for Systems Genetics, Frontiers Science Center for Disease-related Molecular Network, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2899-1531

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study introduces a novel Transformer-based time-series framework designed to revolutionize risk stratification in Intensive Care Units (ICUs) by predicting patient outcomes with high temporal precision. Leveraging sequential data from the eICU database, our two-stage architecture dynamically captures evolving health trajectories throughout a patient's ICU stay, enabling real-time identification of high-risk individuals and actionable insights for personalized interventions. The model demonstrated exceptional predictive power, achieving a progressive AUC increase from 0.87 (±0.021) on admission day to 0.92 (±0.009) by day 5, reflecting its capacity to assimilate longitudinal physiological patterns. Rigorous external validation across geographically diverse cohorts-including an 81.8% accuracy on Chinese sepsis data (AUC=0.73) and 76.56% accuracy on MIMIC-IV-3.1 (AUC=0.84)-confirmed robust generalizability. Crucially, SHAP-derived temporal heatmaps unveiled mortality-associated feature dynamics over time, bridging the gap between model predictions and clinically interpretable biomarkers. These findings establish a new paradigm for ICU prognostics, where data-driven temporal modeling synergizes with clinician expertise to optimize triage, reduce diagnostic latency, and ultimately improve survival outcomes in critical care.

Indexed as

predicting mortalitysepsistime-seriesTransformervisualization

Identifiers

PMID40041421
PMCPMC11878768

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.