Evidence mapPaperPMID 40070563Full record

ArticleFrontiers in pharmacology2025

Time-varying cost-effectiveness analysis of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors in Chinese patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction: A microsimulation of the real-world population.

Xinyu Zou, Xingchen He, Qingyang Shi, Si Wang, Nan Li, Yiling Zhou, Ming Hu, Li Luo, Yiwen Shen, Ye Zhu and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in pharmacology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Xinyu Zou *Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, MAGIC China Center, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Xingchen He *Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, MAGIC China Center, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Qingyang ShiDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolism, MAGIC China Center, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Si WangDepartment of Cardiology, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Nan LiDepartment of Informatics, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Yiling ZhouDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolism, MAGIC China Center, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Ming HuWest China School of Pharmacy, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Li LuoBusiness School, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Yiwen ShenSchool of Business and Management, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Ye ZhuDepartment of Cardiology, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Chim C LangDivision of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Ninewells Hospital, University of Dundee, Dundee, United Kingdom.
Zhiming ZhuDepartment of Hypertension and Endocrinology, Center for Hypertension and Metabolic Diseases, Daping Hospital, Army Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Haoming TianDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolism, MAGIC China Center, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Sheyu LiDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolism, MAGIC China Center, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors showed time-varying effects in heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), but corresponding cost-effectiveness in different timeframes remained poorly understood. This study estimated the time-varying cost-effectiveness of SGLT2 inhibitors in HFrEF from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system. Methods: Based on real-world individual patient data, a 2-year microsimulation model was constructed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of adding SGLT2 inhibitors to standard therapy compared with standard therapy alone among patients with HFrEF. A published prediction model informed transition probabilities for all-cause death and hospitalization for heart failure. The time-varying effects of SGLT2 inhibitors, medical costs, and utility values were derived from the published literature. Scenario analyses in different timeframes were conducted to assess the trend of cost-effectiveness over time. Results: Compared with standard therapy alone, SGLT2 inhibitors plus standard therapy were found cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $12,741 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained in 2 years. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) decreased from $12,346.07/QALY at 0.5 years to $9,355.66/QALY at 2 years. One-direction sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the cost-effectiveness of SGLT2 inhibitors was most sensitive to the cost of SGLT2 inhibitors, the cost of hospitalization for heart failure, the cost of standard therapy for heart failure, and the baseline risks of all-cause death and hospitalization for heart failure. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis proved the robustness of the results. Conclusion: Adding SGLT2 inhibitors to standard therapy was found to be cost-effective in Chinese patients with HFrEF. Longer treatment appeared to be more economically favorable, but further explorations are warranted.

Indexed as

cost-effectivenessheart failuremicrosimulationsodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitorstime-varying

Identifiers

PMID40070563
PMCPMC11893398

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.