Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40119191›Full record

ArticleAnnals of surgical oncology2025

Recurrence-Free Survival as a Surrogate for Overall Survival Among Patients with Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma Following Upfront Surgery: An International Multi-institutional Analysis.

Jun Kawashima, Yutaka Endo, Selamawit Woldesenbet, Mujtaba Khalil, Miho Akabane, François Cauchy, Feng Shen, Shishir Maithel, Irinel Popescu, Minoru Kitago and 12 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of surgical oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors.

Jun KawashimaDepartment of Surgery, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center and James Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, USA.
Yutaka EndoDepartment of Transplant Surgery, University of Rochester Medical Center, Rochester, NY, USA.
Selamawit WoldesenbetDepartment of Surgery, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center and James Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, USA.
Mujtaba KhalilDepartment of Surgery, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center and James Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, USA.
Miho AkabaneDepartment of Surgery, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center and James Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, USA.
François CauchyDepartment of Hepatobiliopancreatic Surgery, APHP, Beaujon Hospital, Clichy, France.
Feng ShenDepartment of Surgery, Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Shanghai, China.
Shishir MaithelDepartment of Surgery, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Irinel PopescuDepartment of Surgery, Fundeni Clinical Institute, Bucharest, Romania.
Minoru KitagoDepartment of Surgery, Keio University, Tokyo, Japan.
Matthew J WeissDepartment of Surgery, Northwell Health, New Hyde Park, NY, USA.
Guillaume MartelDepartment of Surgery, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada.
Carlo PulitanoDepartment of Surgery, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Camperdown, NSW, Australia.
Luca AldrighettiDepartment of Surgery, Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy.
George PoultsidesDepartment of Surgery, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Andrea RuzzenteDepartment of Surgery, University of Verona, Verona, Italy.
Todd W BauerDepartment of Surgery, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Ana GleisnerDepartment of Surgery, University of Colorado Denver, Denver, CO, USA.
Hugo MarquesDepartment of Surgery, Curry Cabral Hospital, Lisbon, Portugal.
Bas Groot KoerkampDepartment of Surgery, Erasmus University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Itaru EndoDepartment of Gastroenterological Surgery, Yokohama City University School of Medicine, Yokohama, Japan.
Timothy M PawlikDepartment of Surgery, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center and James Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, USA. Tim.Pawlik@osumc.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7994-9870

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe role of recurrence-free survival (RFS) as a validated surrogate endpoint for overall survival (OS) among patients undergoing upfront surgery for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) has not been defined. We sought to evaluate the correlation between RFS and OS after surgical resection for ICC. We hypothesized that RFS was a reliable surrogate endpoint for OS among patients with ICC.

methodsPatients who underwent upfront curative-intent surgery for ICC between 2000 and 2023 were identified from an international, multi-institutional database. The correlation between RFS and OS was assessed using rank correlation. Landmark analysis evaluated concordance between survival at 5 years and recurrence status at 6, 12, 24, 36, 48, and 54 months postoperatively.

resultsAmong 1541 patients who underwent curative-intent hepatic resection, the median RFS and OS were 22.6 months and 41.5 months, respectively. A moderately strong correlation between RFS and OS was identified (ρ = 0.79, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.82). In the landmark analysis, the concordance between 5-year OS after surgery and recurrence status at different time points (6, 12, 24, 36, 48, and 54 months) was 60.7%, 72.0%, 81.4%, 83.1%, 83.0%, and 82.5%, respectively. Restricted cubic spline analysis indicated that the prediction of OS based on RFS increased with time and plateaued 3 years after surgery.

conclusionsAmong patients undergoing curative-intent resection of ICC, there was a moderately strong correlation between RFS and OS. Three-year RFS may be a reliable surrogate endpoint to predict 5-year OS and should be considered in future trial design.

Indexed as

Bile Duct NeoplasmsCholangiocarcinomaHepatectomyNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalAgedFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesSurvival Rate

Identifiers

PMID40119191
PMCPMC12130119

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.