Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40125569›Full record

ArticleJournal of cardiovascular electrophysiology2025

Trends in Mortality Related to Atrial Fibrillation and Dementia in Older Adults in the United States: A 2000-2020 Analysis.

Muhammad U Sohail, Ruqiat M Batool, Muhammad Saad, Saad A Waqas, Muhammed A Noushad, Muhammad O Sohail, Matthew Bates, Raheel Ahmed, David Ripley

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of cardiovascular electrophysiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Muhammad U SohailDepartment of Medicine, Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, Pakistan.ORCID 0009-0002-0406-6878
Ruqiat M BatoolDepartment of Medicine, Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, Pakistan.ORCID 0009-0000-1796-4023
Muhammad SaadDepartment of Medicine, Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, Pakistan.ORCID 0000-0002-1792-2357
Saad A WaqasDepartment of Medicine, Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, Pakistan.ORCID 0009-0008-9051-6081
Muhammed A NoushadUniversity Hospitals Plymouth NHS Trust, Plymouth, UK.
Muhammad O SohailConemaugh Memorial Medical Center, Johnstown, Pennsylvania, USA.
Matthew BatesJames Cook University Hospital, Middlesbrough, UK.
Raheel AhmedNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK.
David RipleyNorthumbria Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, North Shields, UK.

Funding

The authors received no specific funding for this work.
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF) and dementia are increasingly prevalent in aging US populations. Their association raises public health concerns, emphasizing the need to understand mortality trends in older adults. This study examines AF and dementia-related mortality trends from 2000 to 2020.

methodsUsing the CDC WONDER Multiple Cause of Death database, we analyzed death certificates for individuals aged 65 and older, reporting age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100 000 persons. Trends were assessed through annual percent change (APC) analysis via Joinpoint regression, with stratifications by sex, race/ethnicity, urbanization, and Census regions.

resultsA total of 400 103 AF and dementia-related deaths were recorded between 2000 and 2020. The AAMR increased markedly from 25.4 in 2000 to 70.4 in 2020. The overall AAMR showed a steady increase from 2000 to 2018 (APC: +4.2%; 95% CI: 2.5-5.5), with a sharper rise from 2018 to 2020 (APC: +9.5%; 95% CI: 4.5-12.2; p < 0.001). Mortality rates were comparable between men (AAMR: 44.4) and women (AAMR: 43.9). NH White individuals exhibited the highest AAMR (47.0), followed by NH Black (26.6), Hispanic (23.1), and NH Asian/Pacific Islander (18.0) populations. Nonmetropolitan areas had higher AAMRs (48.1) compared to metropolitan areas (43.5). Regionally, the Western US recorded the highest AAMR at 48.2, while state-level disparities showed a nearly threefold difference between the top 90th and bottom 10th percentiles.

conclusionRising AF and dementia-related mortality rates among older adults highlight a need for targeted screening and intervention, particularly for high-risk demographics and underserved regions.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationDementiaAgedAged, 80 and overAge DistributionAge FactorsCause of DeathDatabases, FactualDeath CertificatesFemaleHumansMalePrevalenceRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSex Distributionatrial fibrillationCDC WONDER databasedementiamortality trendsolder adults

Identifiers

PMID40125569
PMCPMC12160669

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.