Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40128280›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

The spatiotemporal scaling laws of urban population dynamics.

Xingye Tan, Bo Huang, Michael Batty, Weiyu Li, Qi Ryan Wang, Yulun Zhou, Peng Gong

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Xingye Tan *Department of Geography, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9890-6892
Bo Huang *Department of Geography, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China. bohuang@hku.hk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5063-3522
Michael BattyThe Bartlett Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9931-1305
Weiyu LiSchool of Mathematical Sciences, Suzhou University of Science and Technology, Suzhou, China.
Qi Ryan WangDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Northeastern University, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6804-1173
Yulun ZhouDepartment of Urban Planning and Design, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Peng GongDepartment of Geography, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1513-3765

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Human mobility is becoming increasingly complex in urban environments. However, our fundamental understanding of urban population dynamics, particularly the pulsating fluctuations occurring across different locations and timescales, remains limited. Here, we use mobile device data from large cities and regions worldwide combined with a detrended fractal analysis to uncover a universal spatiotemporal scaling law that governs urban population fluctuations. This law reveals the scale invariance of these fluctuations, spanning from city centers to peripheries over both time and space. Moreover, we show that at any given location, fluctuations obey a time-based scaling law characterized by a spatially decaying exponent, which quantifies their relationship with urban structure. These interconnected discoveries culminate in a robust allometric equation that links population dynamics with urban densities, providing a powerful framework for predicting and managing the complexities of urban human activities. Collectively, this study paves the way for more effective urban planning, transportation strategies, and policies grounded in population dynamics, thereby fostering the development of resilient and sustainable cities.

Identifiers

PMID40128280
PMCPMC11933343

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.