Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40134451›Full record

ArticleNature. Mental health2025

Dynamic effects of psychiatric vulnerability, loneliness and isolation on distress during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Lauren Y Atlas, Cristan Farmer, Jacob S Shaw, Alison Gibbons, Emily P Guinee, Juan Antonio Lossio-Ventura, Elizabeth D Ballard, Monique Ernst, Shruti Japee, Francisco Pereira and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature. Mental health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Lauren Y AtlasNational Center for Complementary and Integrative Health, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5693-4169
Cristan FarmerOffice of the Clinical Director, National Institute of Mental Health, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Jacob S ShawOffice of the Clinical Director, National Institute of Mental Health, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7906-9945
Alison GibbonsOffice of the Clinical Director, National Institute of Mental Health, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Emily P GuineeOffice of the Clinical Director, National Institute of Mental Health, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Juan Antonio Lossio-VenturaMachine Learning Core, National Institute of Mental Health, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Elizabeth D BallardExperimental Therapeutics and Pathophysiology Branch, National Institute of Mental Health, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Monique ErnstBranch of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, National Institute of Mental Health, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Shruti JapeeLaboratory of Brain and Cognition, National Institute of Mental Health, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Francisco PereiraMachine Learning Core, National Institute of Mental Health, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2773-3426
Joyce Y ChungOffice of the Clinical Director, National Institute of Mental Health, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8255-7440

Funding

Machine Learning TeamZICMH002968 · NIMH · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF MENTAL HEALTH · PI PEREIRA, FRANCISCO · 2018 to 2025
$13.9M
Psychiatry Consultation Liaison Service ResearchZIAMH002922 · NIMH · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF MENTAL HEALTH · PI PAO, MARYLAND · 2009 to 2025
$11.5M
Neural and psychological mechanisms of pain perception ZIAAT000030 · NCCIH · NATIONAL CENTER FOR COMPLEMENTARY & INTEGRATIVE HEALTH · PI ATLAS, LAUREN · 2015 to 2025
$3.8M
Intramural NIH HHS Z99 AT999999Intramural NIH HHS ZIA AT000030Intramural NIH HHS ZIA MH002922Intramural NIH HHS ZIC MH002968
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic's impact on mental health is challenging to quantify because pre-existing risk, disease burden and public policy varied across individuals, time and regions. Longitudinal, within-person analyses can determine whether pandemic-related changes in social isolation impacted mental health. We analyzed time-varying associations between psychiatric vulnerability, loneliness, psychological distress and social distancing in a US-based study during the first year of the pandemic. We surveyed 3,655 participants about psychological health and COVID-19-related circumstances every 2 weeks for 6 months. We combined self-reports with regional social distancing estimates and a classifier that predicted probability of psychiatric diagnosis at enrollment. Loneliness and psychiatric vulnerability both impacted psychological distress. Loneliness and distress were also linked to social isolation and stress associated with distancing, and psychiatric vulnerability shaped how regional distancing affected loneliness across time. Public health policies should address loneliness when encouraging social distancing, particularly in those at risk for psychiatric conditions.

Identifiers

PMID40134451
PMCPMC11934869

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.