Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40144970›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in public health2025

Development of a visualized risk prediction system for sarcopenia in older adults using machine learning: a cohort study based on CHARLS.

Jinsong Du, Xinru Tao, Le Zhu, Heming Wang, Wenhao Qi, Xiaoqiang Min, Shujie Wei, Xiaoyan Zhang, Qiang Liu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Jinsong Du *School of Health Management, Zaozhuang University, Zaozhuang, China.
Xinru Tao *School of Health Management, Zaozhuang University, Zaozhuang, China.
Le ZhuSchool of Health Management, Zaozhuang University, Zaozhuang, China.
Heming WangSchool of Nursing, Jilin University, Jilin, China.
Wenhao QiSchool of Public Health and Nursing, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou, China.
Xiaoqiang MinDepartment of Teaching and Research, Shandong Coal Health School, Zaozhuang, China.
Shujie WeiImage Center, Zaozhuang Municipal Hospital, Zaozhuang, China.
Xiaoyan ZhangMagnetic Resonance Imaging Department, Shandong Healthcare Group Zaozhuang Central Hospital, Zaozhuang, China.
Qiang LiuDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Jiangxi Provincial People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang Medical College, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: The older adult are at high risk of sarcopenia, making early identification and scientific intervention crucial for healthy aging. Methods: This study utilized data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), including a cohort of 2,717 middle-aged and older adult participants. Ten machine learning algorithms, such as CatBoost, XGBoost, and NGBoost, were used to construct predictive models. Results: Among these algorithms, the XGBoost model performed the best, with an ROC-AUC of 0.7, and was selected as the final predictive model for sarcopenia risk. SHAP technology was used to visualize the prediction results, enhancing the interpretability of the model, and the system was built on a web platform. Discussion: The system provides the probability of sarcopenia onset within 4 years based on input variables and identifies critical influencing factors. This facilitates understanding and use by medical professionals. The system supports early identification and scientific intervention for sarcopenia in the older adult, offering significant clinical value and application potential.

Indexed as

Machine LearningSarcopeniaAgedAged, 80 and overAlgorithmsChinaCohort StudiesFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsCHARLSmachine learningrisk predictionsarcopeniavisualized

Identifiers

PMID40144970
PMCPMC11936879

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.