Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40146236›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of surgery (London, England)2025

AutoFRS: an externally validated, annotation-free approach to computational preoperative complication risk stratification in pancreatic surgery - an experimental study.

Fiona R Kolbinger, Nithya Bhasker, Felix Schön, Daniel Cser, Alex Zwanenburg, Steffen Löck, Sebastian Hempel, André Schulze, Nadiia Skorobohach, Hanna M Schmeiser and 10 more

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of surgery (London, England), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors.

Fiona R KolbingerDepartment of Visceral, Thoracic and Vascular Surgery, University Hospital and Faculty of Medicine Carl Gustav Carus, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-2265-4809
Nithya BhaskerDepartment of Translational Surgical Oncology, National Center for Tumor Diseases (NCT), NCT/UCC Dresden, a partnership between DKFZ, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, TUD Dresden University of Technology, and Helmholtz-Zentrum Dresden-Rossendorf (HZDR), Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-2666-8776
Felix SchönFaculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus Dresden, Technische Universität Dresden, Institute and Polyclinic for Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology, Dresden, Germany.
Daniel CserDepartment of Translational Surgical Oncology, National Center for Tumor Diseases (NCT), NCT/UCC Dresden, a partnership between DKFZ, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, TUD Dresden University of Technology, and Helmholtz-Zentrum Dresden-Rossendorf (HZDR), Germany.
Alex ZwanenburgNational Center for Tumor Diseases (NCT/UCC), Dresden, Germany; German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany; Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany; Helmholtz-Zentrum Dresden-Rossendorf (HZDR), Dresden, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-0342-9545
Steffen LöckNational Center for Tumor Diseases (NCT/UCC), Dresden, Germany; German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany; Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany; Helmholtz-Zentrum Dresden-Rossendorf (HZDR), Dresden, Germany.
Sebastian HempelDepartment of Visceral, Thoracic and Vascular Surgery, University Hospital and Faculty of Medicine Carl Gustav Carus, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-4268-9902
André SchulzeDepartment of Visceral, Thoracic and Vascular Surgery, University Hospital and Faculty of Medicine Carl Gustav Carus, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany.
Nadiia SkorobohachFaculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus Dresden, Technische Universität Dresden, Institute and Polyclinic for Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology, Dresden, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-6714-9553
Hanna M SchmeiserDepartment of Visceral, Thoracic and Vascular Surgery, University Hospital and Faculty of Medicine Carl Gustav Carus, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany.
Rosa KlotzDepartment of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-4123-261
Ralf-Thorsten HoffmannFaculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus Dresden, Technische Universität Dresden, Institute and Polyclinic for Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology, Dresden, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-3150-4263
Pascal ProbstCantonal Hospital Thurgau, Frauenfeld, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-0895-4015
Beat MüllerDepartment of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany.
Sebastian BodenstedtDepartment of Translational Surgical Oncology, National Center for Tumor Diseases (NCT), NCT/UCC Dresden, a partnership between DKFZ, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, TUD Dresden University of Technology, and Helmholtz-Zentrum Dresden-Rossendorf (HZDR), Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-2203-9729
Martin WagnerDepartment of Visceral, Thoracic and Vascular Surgery, University Hospital and Faculty of Medicine Carl Gustav Carus, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany.
Jürgen WeitzDepartment of Visceral, Thoracic and Vascular Surgery, University Hospital and Faculty of Medicine Carl Gustav Carus, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany.
Jens-Peter KühnFaculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus Dresden, Technische Universität Dresden, Institute and Polyclinic for Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology, Dresden, Germany.
Marius DistlerDepartment of Visceral, Thoracic and Vascular Surgery, University Hospital and Faculty of Medicine Carl Gustav Carus, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-3164-5755
Stefanie SpeidelDepartment of Translational Surgical Oncology, National Center for Tumor Diseases (NCT), NCT/UCC Dresden, a partnership between DKFZ, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, TUD Dresden University of Technology, and Helmholtz-Zentrum Dresden-Rossendorf (HZDR), Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-4590-1908

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe risk of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF), one of the most dreaded complications after pancreatic surgery, can be predicted from preoperative imaging and tabular clinical routine data. However, existing studies suffer from limited clinical applicability due to a need for manual data annotation and a lack of external validation. We propose AutoFRS (automated fistula risk score software), an externally validated end-to-end prediction tool for POPF risk stratification based on multimodal preoperative data. MATERIALS AND

methodsWe trained AutoFRS on preoperative contrast-enhanced computed tomography imaging and clinical data from 108 patients undergoing pancreatic head resection and validated it on an external cohort of 61 patients. Prediction performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and balanced accuracy. In addition, model performance was compared to the updated alternative fistula risk score (ua-FRS), the current clinical gold standard method for intraoperative POPF risk stratification.

resultsAutoFRS achieved an AUC of 0.81 and a balanced accuracy of 0.72 in internal validation and an AUC of 0.79 and a balanced accuracy of 0.70 in external validation. In a patient subset with documented intraoperative POPF risk factors, AutoFRS (AUC: 0.84 ± 0.05) performed on par with the uaFRS (AUC: 0.85 ± 0.06). The AutoFRS web application facilitates annotation-free prediction of POPF from preoperative imaging and clinical data based on the AutoFRS prediction model.

conclusionPOPF can be predicted from multimodal clinical routine data without human data annotation, automating the risk prediction process. We provide additional evidence of the clinical feasibility of preoperative POPF risk stratification and introduce a software pipeline for future prospective evaluation. GRAPHICAL ABSTRACT:

Indexed as

PancreasPancreatectomyPancreatic FistulaPostoperative ComplicationsSoftwareAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsROC CurveTomography, X-Ray Computedartificial intelligencepancreaticoduodenectomypancreatic surgeryradiomicssurgical complications

Identifiers

PMID40146236
PMCPMC12165562

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.