Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40165807›Full record

ArticleBiologics : targets & therapy2025

Evaluating Biosimilar Development Projects: An Analytical Framework Utilizing Net Present Value.

Ranjit Ranbhor, Priyanka Kulkarni

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biologics : targets & therapy, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Ranjit RanbhorPergament and Cepeda LLC, Florham Park, NJ, 07932, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5445-4073
Priyanka KulkarniFeliciano School of Business, Montclair State University, Montclair, NJ, 07043, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The increasing prominence of biosimilars in healthcare delivery has created the need for robust financial evaluation methods to assess development opportunities. Unlike traditional generic drugs, biosimilars require substantial investments ($100-250 million) and longer development timelines (6-8 years), necessitating sophisticated evaluation approaches. Methods: This study presents a comprehensive Net Present Value (NPV) analysis framework specifically designed for biosimilar development projects. Our framework incorporates key technical, regulatory, and commercial factors through a risk-adjusted NPV methodology, validated through case studies of three monoclonal antibody biosimilar development programs. Results: The analysis reveals that successful projects require minimum peak sales of $250-300 million to achieve a positive NPV, with market share and manufacturing efficiency serving as critical value drivers. Cost analysis shows that clinical development represents the largest share (57%) of total development costs. Conclusion: The framework demonstrates that early market entry, manufacturing optimization, and market share achievement are key success factors, whereas technical complexity and competitive intensity significantly influence risk-adjusted returns.

Indexed as

biosimilarsinvestment evaluationnet present value analysispharmaceutical developmentrisk assessment

Identifiers

PMID40165807
PMCPMC11955401

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.