Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40176285›Full record

ArticleCancer control : journal of the Moffitt Cancer Center

Pancreatic Cancer in High-Income Asia-Pacific: A Population-Based Study.

Donghong Wang, Zhibin Ma

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer control : journal of the Moffitt Cancer Center. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Burden of pancreatic cancer in Iran: an analysis of Global Burden of Disease 2021.Gastroenterology and hepatology from bed to bench · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Donghong WangDepartment of Internal Medicine, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.
Zhibin MaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.ORCID 0009-0004-8099-1090

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BackgroundPancreatic cancer places a substantial global health and economic burden. However, the epidemiological characteristics and chronological trends of pancreatic cancer in high-income Asia-Pacific have not been systematically analyzed.MethodsData obtained from the GBD 2021 database were used for this cross-country secondary analysis. We used Joinpoint regression to analyze the temporal trends of pancreatic cancer disease burden in the high-income Asia-Pacific. Age-period-cohort model was used to estimate and describe the impact of age, period, and cohort effects on health outcomes. Bayesian age-period-cohort model was used for the projection of pancreatic cancer incidence from 2022 to 2036.ResultsIn high-income Asia-Pacific, the age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), mortality rate (ASMR), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) rate (ASDR) were estimated to be 11.2 (95% UI, 9.69-12.17), 9.56 (95% UI, 8.34-10.34), and 197.6 (95% UI, 178.87-210.6) per 100 000 population, respectively, in 2021, which were all higher than those in across Asia. From 1990 to 2002, the age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) trend was rather stable. Instead, the ASIRs trend went up gradually from 2002 to 2011 in both males (APC = + 1.03, 95% CI: 0.85, 1.20) and females (APC = + 1.64, 95% CI: 1.40, 1.89). ASIRs and ASMRs went up considerably with increasing age, especially over 60. The ASIRs in the high-income Asia-Pacific region are predicted to go down in the years ahead, from approximately 12.81 in 2021 to approximately 11.11 in 2036 for males, and from approximately 8.97 in 2021 to approximately 8.42 in 2036 for females.ConclusionA comprehensive upward trend in ASIRs, ASPRs, ASMRs, and ASDRs of pancreatic cancer was observed in the high-income Asia-Pacific between 1990 and 2021. Given the poor prognosis of pancreatic cancer, prevention strategies are paramount, especially for modifiable factors like smoking, alcohol drinking, and obesity.

Indexed as

Pancreatic NeoplasmsAdultAgedAsiaDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceepidemiologyglobal burden of diseasepancreatic cancerprojectiontrends

Identifiers

PMID40176285
PMCPMC11967221

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.