Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40197173›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2025

Global trends and burdens of neglected tropical diseases and malaria from 1990 to 2021: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Jingjing Chen, Xuebin Tian, Deli Guo, Hongyu Gu, Yazhuo Duan, Dejun Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Jingjing Chen *School of Public Policy and Management, Guangxi University, Nanning, Guangxi, 530004, China.
Xuebin Tian *State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310000, China.
Deli GuoDepartment of ICU, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong, 250021, China.
Hongyu GuDepartment of ICU, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong, 250021, China.
Yazhuo DuanDepartment of Intensive Care Unit, Baoshan People's Hospital, Yunnan, 678000, China.
Dejun LiDepartment of ICU, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong, 250021, China. lidj8119@163.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNeglected tropical diseases and malaria (NTDm) afflict the most disadvantaged communities, causing chronic and devastating illnesses. The purpose of this study was to investigate the epidemiological features of NTDm from 1990 to 2021 to provide essential information for policy choices to reduce the incidence of NTDm.

methodsThe Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 provided information on the incidence, mortality, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) rates of NTDs and malaria from 1990 to 2021. Prevalence and trends were analysed globally as well as by region, sex, and age. The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was used to evaluate illness trends, and the connection between sociodemographic indicators (SDIs) and disease burden was investigated. To further examine the patterns and forecasts, the age-period-cohort (APC) and Bayesian age‒period‒cohort (BAPC) models were used. On the basis of the results of the analysis, the main risk factors affecting NTDm were explored in depth.

resultsIn 2021, the global NTDm age-standardized incidence rate increased by 24.12 (95% UI: -158.97-206.77) from 1990. The burden was highest in West and Central Sub-Saharan Africa, with dengue, malaria and rabies being particularly prominent. The incidence rates standardized by age, prevalence rates, mortality rates, and rates of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were primarily observed in children younger than five years and in regions with low SDIs. Analyses considering age, period, and cohort indicated that the burden of disease has diminished in populations born later. Forecasts suggest a minor rise in age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) from 2022 to 2035, whereas age-standardized prevalence rates (ASPRs), age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs), and age-standardized disability-adjusted life year rates (ASDRs) are anticipated to decline. Major risk factors for NTDm include child and maternal malnutrition, child growth failure, child stunting and child underweight.

conclusionsThe burden of NTDm varies by region, age and sex. This is particularly the case in low-SDI regions. To reduce the global burden of NTDm, specific strategies such as strengthening health systems, fostering cross-sector collaboration, and enhancing community participation are essential. Integrated management requires a multisectoral approach that combines policy, health care, education, research, and community involvement to support sustainable development goals.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseaseMalariaNeglected DiseasesTropical MedicineAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overChildChild, PreschoolDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceInfantAge–period–cohort modelBayesian age–period–cohortDisability-adjusted life-yearGlobal burden of disease study (GBD) 2021IncidenceMalariaNeglected tropical diseases

Identifiers

PMID40197173
PMCPMC11977945

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.