Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40197621›Full record

ArticleCritical care medicine2025

Development and External Validation of a Detection Model to Retrospectively Identify Patients With Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome.

Elizabeth Levy, Dru Claar, Ivan Co, Barry D Fuchs, Jennifer Ginestra, Rachel Kohn, Jakob I McSparron, Bhavik Patel, Gary E Weissman, Meeta Prasad Kerlin and 1 more

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Critical care medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Observational
  4. Multimodal Deep Learning for ARDS Detection.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Elizabeth LevyDivision of Pulmonary, Allergy and Critical Care, Department of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA.
Dru ClaarDivision of Pulmonary-Critical Care, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.
Ivan CoDivision of Pulmonary-Critical Care, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.
Barry D FuchsDivision of Pulmonary, Allergy and Critical Care, Department of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA.
Jennifer GinestraPalliative and Advanced Illness (PAIR) Center, Department of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA.
Rachel KohnDivision of Pulmonary, Allergy and Critical Care, Department of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA.
Jakob I McSparronDivision of Pulmonary-Critical Care, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.
Bhavik PatelDivision of Pulmonary, Allergy and Critical Care, Department of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA.
Gary E WeissmanDivision of Pulmonary, Allergy and Critical Care, Department of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA.
Meeta Prasad KerlinDivision of Pulmonary, Allergy and Critical Care, Department of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA.
Michael W SjodingDivision of Pulmonary-Critical Care, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.

Funding

Implementation of behavioral economic approaches to improve evidence uptake for mechanically ventilated patientsR01HL141608 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI KERLIN, MEETA PRASAD · 2019 to 2023
$3.7M
National Institute of Health K01HL136687National Institute of Health T32HL098054NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL141608
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe aim of this study was to develop and externally validate a machine-learning model that retrospectively identifies patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (acute respiratory distress syndrome [ARDS]) using electronic health record (EHR) data.

designIn this retrospective cohort study, ARDS was identified via physician-adjudication in three cohorts of patients with hypoxemic respiratory failure (training, internal validation, and external validation). Machine-learning models were trained to classify ARDS using vital signs, respiratory support, laboratory data, medications, chest radiology reports, and clinical notes. The best-performing models were assessed and internally and externally validated using the area under receiver-operating curve (AUROC), area under precision-recall curve, integrated calibration index (ICI), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and ARDS timing. PATIENTS: Patients with hypoxemic respiratory failure undergoing mechanical ventilation within two distinct health systems.

interventionsNone. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN

resultsThere were 1,845 patients in the training cohort, 556 in the internal validation cohort, and 199 in the external validation cohort. ARDS prevalence was 19%, 17%, and 31%, respectively. Regularized logistic regression models analyzing structured data (EHR model) and structured data and radiology reports (EHR-radiology model) had the best performance. During internal and external validation, the EHR-radiology model had AUROC of 0.91 (95% CI, 0.88-0.93) and 0.88 (95% CI, 0.87-0.93), respectively. Externally, the ICI was 0.13 (95% CI, 0.08-0.18). At a specified model threshold, sensitivity and specificity were 80% (95% CI, 75%-98%), PPV was 64% (95% CI, 58%-71%), and the model identified patients with a median of 2.2 hours (interquartile range 0.2-18.6) after meeting Berlin ARDS criteria.

conclusionsMachine-learning models analyzing EHR data can retrospectively identify patients with ARDS across different institutions.

Indexed as

Machine LearningRespiratory Distress SyndromeAgedElectronic Health RecordsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRespiration, ArtificialRetrospective StudiesSensitivity and Specificityacute lung injuryARDShypoxemic respiratory failuremachine learningmechanical ventilation

Identifiers

PMID40197621
PMCPMC12919718

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.