Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40206663›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Western Pacific2025

Associations of reallocating sedentary leisure-time to alternative discretionary movement behaviours with incident cardiometabolic diseases in 0.5 million Chinese adults.

Paul J Collings, Mengyao Wang, Harrison Hin Sheung Ho, Shiu Lun Au Yeung, Parco M Siu, Benjamin J Cowling, Stephen J Sharp, Søren Brage, Nicholas J Wareham, Huaidong Du and 3 more

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Paul J CollingsSchool of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of China.
Mengyao WangSchool of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of China.
Harrison Hin Sheung HoSchool of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of China.
Shiu Lun Au YeungSchool of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of China.
Parco M SiuSchool of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of China.
Benjamin J CowlingSchool of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of China.
Stephen J SharpMRC Epidemiology Unit, School of Clinical Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Søren BrageMRC Epidemiology Unit, School of Clinical Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Nicholas J WarehamMRC Epidemiology Unit, School of Clinical Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Huaidong DuNuffield Department of Population Health (NDPH), University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Derrick A BennettNuffield Department of Population Health (NDPH), University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Youngwon KimSchool of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of China.
China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) Study Collaborative Group

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: In Chinese adults, there is a considerable burden of sedentary behaviour. This study aimed to estimate the implications of reallocating sedentary leisure-time to non-sedentary behaviours for incident cardiometabolic diseases. Methods: A prospective cohort study of 462,370 Chinese adults (mean age 51 years; 59% female) who were free from diabetes and cardiovascular diseases at baseline. Isotemporal substitution Cox regression models were used to estimate the associations of reallocating self-reported sedentary leisure-time to the same amount of sleep, housework, Taichi, or conventional exercise (e.g., walking, jogging, ball games, swimming) with the risk of incident diabetes, stroke, and myocardial infarction (MI). The results are reported as adjusted hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals per 30 min/day time exchanges. Potential impact fractions were calculated to estimate the proportional reductions in incident disease cases associated with time substitutions, assuming causality. Findings: During >5.25 million person-years of follow-up, 19,738 incident diabetes, 51,460 stroke, and 6767 MI cases were accrued. Lower disease risks were found for replacement of sedentary leisure-time by sleep (diabetes: 0.97 [0.95-0.99], stroke: 0.98 [0.97-0.99], MI: 0.97 [0.94-0.99]; in participants who slept <7 h/day), housework (diabetes: 0.97 [0.97-0.98], stroke: 0.99 [0.98-0.99], MI: 0.97 [0.95-0.98]), Taichi (diabetes: 0.97 [0.95-0.99], stroke: 0.98 [0.97-0.99], MI: 0.95 [0.92-0.98]), or conventional exercise (diabetes: 0.97 [0.95-0.99], stroke: 0.97 [0.95-0.98], MI: 0.92 [0.88-0.96]). Potential impact fractions ranged from an estimated 3.5% (95% confidence interval: 3.1-3.9%) fewer cases of incident stroke when replacing sedentary leisure-time with housework, to an estimated 9.6% (5.9-13.3%) fewer cases of incident MI when reallocating sedentary leisure-time to conventional exercise. Interpretation: Replacing sedentary leisure-time with behaviours such as housework, Taichi, sleep (in short sleepers) and conventional exercise is associated with lower risks of common cardiometabolic diseases in Chinese adults. Prevention strategies should be developed to promote movement behaviours and optimal levels of sleep at the expense of sedentary leisure-time. Funding: This analysis was supported by a Health and Medical Research Fund (HMRF) Research Fellowship (grant no: 06200087).

Indexed as

Cardiovascular diseasesIsotemporal substitutionPhysical activityProspective studySedentary behaviourSleep

Identifiers

PMID40206663
PMCPMC11979937

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.