Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40245859›Full record

Observational studyHormone research in paediatrics2026

Increasing Contribution of Adolescent Type 1 Diabetes Drives Incidence Rates in Poland: A 40-Year-Long Observational Study.

Agnieszka Szadkowska, Iwona Pietrzak, Arkadiusz Michalak, Jędrzej Chrzanowski, Agnieszka Zmysłowska, Anna Hogendorf, Anna Baranowska-Jaźwiecka, Hanna Kuśmierczyk-Kozieł, Aleksandra Olejniczak, Aleksandra Dynowska and 3 more

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Hormone research in paediatrics, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Guideline
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Agnieszka SzadkowskaDepartment of Pediatrics, Diabetology, Endocrinology and Nephrology, Medical University of Lodz, Lodz, Poland.
Iwona PietrzakDepartment of Pediatrics, Diabetology, Endocrinology and Nephrology, Medical University of Lodz, Lodz, Poland.
Arkadiusz MichalakDepartment of Pediatrics, Diabetology, Endocrinology and Nephrology, Medical University of Lodz, Lodz, Poland, arkadiusz.michalak@umed.lodz.pl.
Jędrzej ChrzanowskiDepartment of Biostatistics and Translational Medicine, Medical University of Lodz, Lodz, Poland.
Agnieszka ZmysłowskaDepartment of Clinical Genetics, Medical University of Lodz, Lodz, Poland.
Anna HogendorfDepartment of Pediatrics, Diabetology, Endocrinology and Nephrology, Medical University of Lodz, Lodz, Poland.
Anna Baranowska-JaźwieckaDepartment of Pediatrics, Diabetology, Endocrinology and Nephrology, Medical University of Lodz, Lodz, Poland.
Hanna Kuśmierczyk-KoziełDepartment of Pediatrics, Diabetology, Endocrinology and Nephrology, Medical University of Lodz, Lodz, Poland.
Aleksandra OlejniczakDepartment of Pediatrics, Diabetology, Endocrinology and Nephrology, Medical University of Lodz, Lodz, Poland.
Aleksandra DynowskaDepartment of Pediatrics, Diabetology, Endocrinology and Nephrology, Medical University of Lodz, Lodz, Poland.
Aleksandra KordialikDepartment of Pediatrics, Diabetology, Endocrinology and Nephrology, Medical University of Lodz, Lodz, Poland.
Wojciech FendlerDepartment of Biostatistics and Translational Medicine, Medical University of Lodz, Lodz, Poland.
Beata MianowskaDepartment of Pediatrics, Diabetology, Endocrinology and Nephrology, Medical University of Lodz, Lodz, Poland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe incidence of childhood type 1 diabetes (T1D) has increased globally in recent decades. Analyzing incidence trends can elucidate patterns and predict future healthcare burdens. We aimed to assess changes in the incidence and prevalence of pediatric type 1 diabetes over 40 years in Central Poland.

methodsThis prospective observational study in Lodz Province registered all new-onset type 1 diabetes cases in children 0-14 years old admitted from 1983 to 2022 to reference centers for pediatric diabetes. Diagnoses were based on established guidelines, and other types of diabetes were excluded. Population data were obtained from Poland's General Statistical Office.

resultsThe incidence rate of type 1 diabetes increased tenfold, from 3.29/100,000 (95% CI: 1.85-4.73) in 1983 to 32.43 (26.42-38.44) in 2022, with an annual percentage change of 5.73% (4.99%-6.44%) and two distinct increase periods: rapid in 1983-2005 (7.38% [6.30-10.52%]) and slower in 2005-2022 (3.65% [-0.86-5.13%]). Incidence rates in 0-4-year-olds were significantly lower than in 5-9 and 10-14-year-olds (p < 0.0001). While incidence plateaued in the 0-4-year-olds after 2007, it consistently increased in older children. Most new cases were diagnosed in winter (December-February, a mean difference from the remaining seasons of 29 ± 11.6% points, p < 0.0001). The prevalence of type 1 diabetes increased, reaching 177.21/100,000 (163.18-191.24) in 2022.

conclusionsOver the past 40 years, the incidence of pediatric type 1 diabetes in Central Poland has increased significantly, though the rate is slowing. Most new cases occur in children 10 years old and older, so healthcare systems should adapt to young adults who are extensive users of new diabetes technologies.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1AdolescentChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornMalePolandProspective StudiesChildrenDiabetes mellitus type 1EpidemiologyIncidence ratePrevalence

Identifiers

PMID40245859
PMCPMC12119056

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.