Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40259495›Full record

ArticleThe journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences2025

Accelerated Epigenetic Aging and Prospective Morbidity and Mortality Among U.S. Veterans.

Kyle J Bourassa, Livia Anderson, Sandra Woolson, Paul A Dennis, Melanie E Garrett, Lauren Hair, Michelle Dennis, Karen Sugden, Benjamin Williams, Renate Houts and 9 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  12. Accelerated biological aging and midlife frailty among U.S. military veterans.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2025
    Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Kyle J BourassaVA Mid-Atlantic Mental Illness Research, Education and Clinical Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Livia AndersonVA Health Services Research and Development Center of Innovation to Accelerate Discovery and Practice Transformation, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Sandra WoolsonVA Health Services Research and Development Center of Innovation to Accelerate Discovery and Practice Transformation, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Paul A DennisVA Health Services Research and Development Center of Innovation to Accelerate Discovery and Practice Transformation, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Melanie E GarrettDuke Molecular Physiology Institute, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2302-6150
Lauren HairVA Mid-Atlantic Mental Illness Research, Education and Clinical Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Michelle DennisVA Mid-Atlantic Mental Illness Research, Education and Clinical Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Karen SugdenDepartment of Psychology and Neuroscience, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4076-5927
Benjamin WilliamsDepartment of Psychology and Neuroscience, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Renate HoutsDepartment of Psychology and Neuroscience, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Patrick S CalhounVA Mid-Atlantic Mental Illness Research, Education and Clinical Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Jennifer C NaylorVA Mid-Atlantic Mental Illness Research, Education and Clinical Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Allison E Ashley-KochDuke Molecular Physiology Institute, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Jean C BeckhamVA Mid-Atlantic Mental Illness Research, Education and Clinical Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Avshalom CaspiDepartment of Psychology and Neuroscience, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0082-4600
Gregory A TaylorGeriatric Research, Education, and Clinical Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Katherine S HallGeriatric Research, Education, and Clinical Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9834-2011
Terrie E MoffittDepartment of Psychology and Neuroscience, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Nathan A KimbrelVA Mid-Atlantic Mental Illness Research, Education and Clinical Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina, USA.

Funding

Validating a 3rd-generation methylation measure of accelerated aging: DunedinPoAm4xR01AG073207 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI CASPI, AVSHALOM, MOFFITT, TERRIE E · 2022 to 2025
$2.9M
Biomedical Laboratory Research and Development #I01BX002577Biomedical Laboratory Research and Development #lK6BX003777Biomedical Laboratory Research and Development #R01AG073207BLRD VA I01 BX002577BLRD VA IK6 BX003777BLRD VA IK6 BX006523Clinical Science Research and Development #I01RX003120CSRD VA IK2 CX000525CSRD VA IK2 CX002694CSRD VA IK6 CX002767NIA NIH HHS R01 AG073207Rehabilitation Research and Development #IK2CX000525Rehabilitation Research and Development (#IK6BX006523RRD VA I01 RX003120
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEpigenetic aging measures have promise as surrogate health outcomes in randomized control trials and observational cohort studies. The value of these measures, however, will reflect the extent to which they are associated with prospective health outcomes in real-world medical settings.

methodsUsing data from 2 216 post-9/11 veterans from the VISN 6 MIRECC's Post-Deployment Mental Health Study, we examined whether accelerated epigenetic aging, assessed by DunedinPACE, was associated with prospective chronic disease morbidity, predicted healthcare costs, and mortality over an average of 13.1 years of electronic health record follow-up.

resultsVeterans with faster DunedinPACE aging scores developed more chronic disease over the subsequent 5 years (RR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.14-1.36), 10 years (RR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.21-1.40), and 15 years (RR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.22-1.52). Faster aging scores were also associated with increases in predicted healthcare costs over the next 5 years (β = 0.08; 95% CI, 0.03-0.13), 10 years (β = 0.23, 95% CI, 0.15-0.31), and 15 years (β = 0.21; 95% CI, 0.11-0.30). Faster DunedinPACE aging scores were associated with greater risk for incident myocardial infarction (84%), stroke (38%), diabetes (56%), cancer (25%), liver disease (44%), and renal disease (34%), as well as greater risk of mortality due to all-causes (38%) and chronic disease (74%). These results remained when adjusting for demographic, biomarker, and smoking covariates.

conclusionsOur findings suggest DunedinPACE is a biomarker of accelerated aging that is prospectively associated with chronic disease morbidity and mortality, as assessed using health records from an integrated healthcare system.

Indexed as

AgingEpigenesis, GeneticVeteransAgedChronic DiseaseFemaleHealth Care CostsHumansMaleMiddle AgedMorbidityProspective StudiesUnited StatesBiological agingChronic diseaseDNA methylationMortalityVeterans

Identifiers

PMID40259495
PMCPMC12199239

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.