Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40265088›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Center2025

Circulating tumor DNA as a biomarker of prognosis prediction in colorectal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Qingxin Zhou, Xiaowei Chen, Baoqi Zeng, Meng Zhang, Nana Guo, Shanshan Wu, Hongmei Zeng, Feng Sun

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Center, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Qingxin ZhouDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University Health Science Centre, Beijing, China.
Xiaowei ChenDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University Health Science Centre, Beijing, China.
Baoqi ZengDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University Health Science Centre, Beijing, China.
Meng ZhangDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University Health Science Centre, Beijing, China.
Nana GuoHebei Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Hebei, China.
Shanshan WuClinical Epidemiology and EBM Unit, National Clinical Research Center for Digestive Diseases, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Hongmei ZengNational Central Cancer Registry, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Feng SunDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University Health Science Centre, Beijing, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is increasingly being used as a potential biomarker in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. However, the role of ctDNA in CRC prognosis prediction remains unclear. The objective is to systematically assess the clinical value of ctDNA in colorectal cancer prognosis prediction throughout the treatment cycle. Methods: PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane Library, Scopus, and clinical trials.gov database was searched from January 2016 to April 2023. Observational studies and randomized clinical trials reporting on ctDNA and prognostic outcomes in CRC patients were included. Pooled hazard risk ratios (HRs) were calculated for the primary outcomes, relapse-free survival (RFS), and overall survival (OS). Random-effects models were preferred considering the potential heterogeneity. Results: Sixty-five cohort studies were included. Association between ctDNA and shorter RFS or OS was significant, especially after the full-course treatment recommended by the guidelines (HR = 8.92 [ 95 % CI: 6.02-13.22], Conclusion: ctDNA detection was significantly associated with poorer prognosis. The potential applications in prognostic prediction are promising and remain to be evaluated in other fields.

Indexed as

Circulating tumor DNAColorectal cancerMeta-analysisPrognosis predictionPrognostic biomarker

Identifiers

PMID40265088
PMCPMC12010414

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.