Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40276925›Full record

ArticleJournal of diabetes2025

Predictive Capability of Dual Trajectories of Central Adiposity Indices Combined With Glucose for Cardiovascular Diseases.

Gangjiao Zhu, Xiong Ding, Hui Zhou, Janis M Nolde, Thomas Beaney, Dan Wu, Yulong Lan, Yan Tian, Ruolin Zhang, Bolu Yang and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of diabetes, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Gangjiao ZhuSchool of Public Health, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.
Xiong DingSchool of Public Health, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.
Hui ZhouXiangya School of Nursing, Central South University, Changsha, China.
Janis M NoldeDepartment of Nephrology, University Medical Centre Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany.
Thomas BeaneySchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Dan WuSecond Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, China.
Yulong LanSecond Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, China.
Yan TianSchool of Public Health, North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan, China.
Ruolin ZhangHarvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, USA.
Bolu YangSchool of Public Health, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.
Shuohua ChenDepartment of Cardiology, Kailuan General Hospital, Tangshan, China.
Bifeng YuanSchool of Public Health, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.
Shouling WuDepartment of Cardiology, Kailuan General Hospital, Tangshan, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7095-6022
Lijing L YanSchool of Public Health, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3029-0462

Funding

Kunshan Municipal Government research fundingThe Berta-Ottenstein-Programme for Clinician Scientists, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis aimed to quantify the association between dual trajectory patterns combining seven central adiposity (CA) indices and fasting plasma glucose (FPG) with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in adults, and to compare their predictive performance.

methodsThe Kailuan Study, a prospective study initiated in June 2006, included 39 772 adults without pre-existing CVD as of 2010. Dual trajectories of seven CA indices combined with FPG were recorded from 2006 to 2010 to predict CVD risk from 2010 to 2021. Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for incident CVD.

resultsDuring a median follow-up of 11.0 years, 2715 incident CVD events were recorded. Four distinct patterns of CA indices (waist circumference, waist-to-height ratio, abdominal volume index, body roundness index) and three distinct patterns of other CA indices (waist-to-hip ratio, conicity index, A body shape index) combined with FPG were identified. Compared with the lowest-risk group, the highest-risk group exhibited a significantly higher CVD risk (adjusted HRs [95% CIs]: 2.41 [2.02-2.86], 2.57 [2.18-3.05], 2.25 [1.92-2.63], 2.35 [2.01-2.73], 2.08 [1.74-2.49], 1.97 [1.72-2.26], 1.81 [1.58-2.07], respectively). Overall, the predictive capabilities were generally similar, with the combination of waist circumference and FPG showing a slightly better predictive performance compared with other patterns.

conclusionsDistinct patterns of dual trajectories involving seven CA indices combined with FPG were associated with CVD risk. The results suggest that the combination of waist circumference and FPG may have greater clinical significance in predicting CVD risk.

Indexed as

AdiposityBlood GlucoseCardiovascular DiseasesObesity, AbdominalAdultBody Mass IndexChinaFastingFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisProspective StudiesBlood Glucosecardiovascular diseasescentral adipositydual trajectoriesfasting plasma glucose

Identifiers

PMID40276925
PMCPMC12022674

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.