Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40313459›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in cellular and infection microbiology2025

Early prediction of sepsis associated encephalopathy in elderly ICU patients using machine learning models: a retrospective study based on the MIMIC-IV database.

Yupeng Han, Xiyuan Xie, Jiapeng Qiu, Yijie Tang, Zhiwei Song, Wangyu Li, Xiaodan Wu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in cellular and infection microbiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Yupeng Han *Department of Anesthesiology, Shengli Clinical Medical College of Fujian Medical University, Fujian Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou University Affiliated Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou, Fujian, China.
Xiyuan Xie *Department of Anesthesiology, Shengli Clinical Medical College of Fujian Medical University, Fujian Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou University Affiliated Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou, Fujian, China.
Jiapeng Qiu *Department of Anesthesiology, Shengli Clinical Medical College of Fujian Medical University, Fujian Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou University Affiliated Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou, Fujian, China.
Yijie TangDepartment of Anesthesiology, Shengli Clinical Medical College of Fujian Medical University, Fujian Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou University Affiliated Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou, Fujian, China.
Zhiwei SongDepartment of Neurology, Shengli Clinical Medical College of Fujian Medical University, Fujian Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou University Affiliated Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou, Fujian, China.
Wangyu LiDepartment of Pain Management, The First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China.
Xiaodan WuDepartment of Anesthesiology, Shengli Clinical Medical College of Fujian Medical University, Fujian Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou University Affiliated Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou, Fujian, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Sepsis associated encephalopathy (SAE) is prevalent among elderly patients in the ICU and significantly affects patient prognosis. Due to the symptom similarity with other neurological disorders and the absence of specific biomarkers, early clinical diagnosis remains challenging. This study aimed to develop a predictive model for SAE in elderly ICU patients. Methods: The data of elderly sepsis patients were extracted from the MIMIC IV database (version 3.1) and divided into training and test sets in a 7:3 ratio. Feature variables were selected using the LASSO-Boruta combined algorithm, and five machine learning (ML) models, including Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Categorical Boosting (CatBoost),Light Gradient Boosting Machine(LGBM), Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), and Support Vector Machines (SVM), were subsequently developed using these variables. A comprehensive set of performance metrics was used to assess the predictive accuracy, calibration, and clinical applicability of these models. For the machine learning model with the best performance, we employed the SHapley Additive Explanations(SHAP) method to visualize the model. Results: Based on strict inclusion and exclusion criteria, a total of 3,156 elderly sepsis patients were enrolled in the study, with an SAE incidence rate of 48.7%. The mortality rate of elderly sepsis patients who developed SAE was significantly higher than that of patients in the non-SAE group (28.78% vs. 12.59%, Conclusions: The XGBoost model effectively predicts SAE in elderly ICU patients and may serve as a reliable tool for clinicians to identify high-risk patients.

Indexed as

Intensive Care UnitsMachine LearningSepsisSepsis-Associated EncephalopathyAgedAged, 80 and overAlgorithmsDatabases, FactualEarly DiagnosisFemaleHumansMalePrognosisRetrospective Studiesearly predictionelderlymachine learningMIMIC-IVsepsis associated encephalopathy

Identifiers

PMID40313459
PMCPMC12043699

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.