Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40326502›Full record

ArticleAnnals of medicine2025

Global, regional and national burden of pancreatitis in children and adolescents, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2021.

Derong Lin, Yue Li, Jingya Fang, Xiaohua Xie, Bin Zhang, Xiaolin Ye, Yiheng Huang, Xiaowen Zhang, Aiguo Xue

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Derong LinDongguan Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Dongguan, China.
Yue LiDongguan Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Dongguan, China.
Jingya FangDongguan Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Dongguan, China.
Xiaohua XieDongguan Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Dongguan, China.
Bin ZhangThe Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Shenzhen Traditional Chinese Medicine Hospital, Shenzhen, China.
Xiaolin YeThe Seventh Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Bao'an District Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shenzhen, China.
Yiheng HuangDongguan Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Dongguan, China.
Xiaowen ZhangDongguan Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Dongguan, China.
Aiguo XueDongguan Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Dongguan, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPancreatitis poses a significant global health burden, disproportionately affecting children and adolescents. This study uses the global burden of disease (GBD) 2021 dataset to evaluate pancreatitis epidemiology in this demographic, focusing on disparities by age, sex, and region.

objectiveTo assess global trends in pediatric pancreatitis, identify risk factors, and forecast disease burden to 2035.

methodsWe analysed GBD 2021 data on deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for pancreatitis in individuals under 20. The socio-demographic index (SDI) assessed the link between societal development and health outcomes. Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) modelling and Poisson's linear models were applied to project future burdens and estimate annual percentage changes (EAPCs) in age-standardized rates.

resultsIn 2021, pancreatitis caused 1120.09 deaths in children and adolescents, comprising 2% of all pancreatitis-related deaths. Age-standardized death rate (ASDR) and DALYs rate declined from 1990 to 2021 (EAPC -0.92 and -0.86, respectively). Low-middle SDI regions, notably Andean and Central Latin America and Eastern Europe, faced the highest burden. Alcohol was a leading risk factor, accounting for 3.51% of related deaths, and males had higher death and DALYs rate.

conclusionsDespite declining pancreatitis-related mortality and DALYs, the disease remains a challenge, particularly in low-middle SDI regions. Alcohol consumption is a key risk factor, underscoring the need for targeted public health interventions. Gender-, age-, and region-specific strategies are essential to mitigate pancreatitis impact in children and adolescents.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseasePancreatitisAdolescentBayes TheoremChildChild, PreschoolCost of IllnessDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal HealthHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMaleQuality-Adjusted Life YearsRisk Factorsalcohol usechildren and adolescentsepidemiologyGlobal burden of diseasepancreatitissocio-demographic index

Identifiers

PMID40326502
PMCPMC12057782

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.