Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40328924›Full record

Observational studyInternational journal of obesity (2005)2025

Uncovering key factors in weight loss effectiveness through machine learning.

Hui-Wen Yang, Rocío De la Peña-Armada, Haoqi Sun, Yu-Qi Peng, Men-Tzung Lo, Frank A J L Scheer, Kun Hu, Marta Garaulet

Registry-linked trialAbstract readObservational Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Observational study in International journal of obesity (2005), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02829619 (Meal Timing, Genetics and Weight Loss in a Mediterranean Population), which is not on this map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02829619 recruitingnot on this map

Meal Timing, Genetics and Weight Loss in a Mediterranean Population

TypeobservationalSponsorUniversidad de MurciaRan2008 to 2032Enrolled5,788ConditionsObesity
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Trial
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Hui-Wen YangMedical Biodynamics Program, Division of Sleep and Circadian Disorders, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA. stopstoptalking@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-6847-3272
Rocío De la Peña-ArmadaDepartment of Nutrition and Food Science, Complutense University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-1418-9812
Haoqi SunDepartment of Neurology, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA.
Yu-Qi PengDepartment of Biomedical Sciences and Engineering, National Central University, Taoyuan, Taiwan.
Men-Tzung LoDepartment of Biomedical Sciences and Engineering, National Central University, Taoyuan, Taiwan.
Frank A J L ScheerDivision of Sleep Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2014-7582
Kun HuMedical Biodynamics Program, Division of Sleep and Circadian Disorders, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0350-3132
Marta GarauletMedical Biodynamics Program, Division of Sleep and Circadian Disorders, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA. garaulet@um.es.ORCID 0000-0002-4066-3509

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

objectivesOne of the main challenges in weight loss is the dramatic interindividual variability in response to treatment. We aim to systematically identify factors relevant to weight loss effectiveness using machine learning (ML). SUBJECTS/

methodsWe studied 1810 participants in the ONTIME program, which is based on cognitive-behavioral therapy for obesity (CBT-OB). We assessed 138 variables representing participants' characteristics, clinical history, metabolic status, dietary intake, physical activity, sleep habits, chronotype, emotional eating, and social and environmental barriers to losing weight. We used XGBoost (extreme gradient boosting) to predict treatment response and SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) to identify the most relevant factors for weight loss effectiveness.

resultsThe total weight loss was 8.45% of the initial weight, the rate of weight loss was 543 g/wk., and attrition was 33%. Treatment duration (mean ± SD: 14.33 ± 8.61 weeks) and initial BMI (28.9 ± 3.33) were crucial factors for all three outcomes. The lack of motivation emerged as the most significant barrier to total weight loss and also influenced the rate of weight loss and attrition. Participants who maintained their motivation lost 1.4% more of their initial body weight than those who lost motivation during treatment (P < 0.0001). The second and third critical factors for decreased total weight loss were lower "self-monitoring" and "eating habits during treatment" (particularly higher snacking). Higher physical activity was a key variable for the greater rate of weight loss.

conclusionsMachine learning analysis revealed key modifiable lifestyle factors during treatment, highlighting avenues for targeted interventions in future weight loss programs. Specifically, interventions should prioritize strategies to sustain motivation, address snacking behaviors, and enhance self-monitoring techniques. Further research is warranted to evaluate the efficacy of these strategies in improving weight loss outcomes.

trial registrationclinicaltrials.gov: NCT02829619.

Indexed as

Cognitive Behavioral TherapyMachine LearningObesityWeight LossAdultBody Mass IndexBoosting Machine Learning AlgorithmsExerciseFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedMotivationTreatment OutcomeWeight Reduction Programs

Identifiers

PMID40328924

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.