Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40347427›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of pediatrics : WJP2025

Changes in the contributions of risk factors to under-five mortality in low- and lower-middle-income countries (1997-2022): an analysis of Demographic and Health Survey data.

Bereket Kefale, Jonine Jancey, Amanuel T Gebremedhin, Gavin Pereira, Gizachew A Tessema

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in World journal of pediatrics : WJP, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Bereket KefaleCurtin School of Population Health, Curtin University, Perth, Western Australia, Australia. b.abitew@postgrad.curtin.edu.au.ORCID 0000-0003-1795-9886
Jonine JanceyCurtin School of Population Health, Curtin University, Perth, Western Australia, Australia.
Amanuel T GebremedhinCurtin School of Population Health, Curtin University, Perth, Western Australia, Australia.
Gavin PereiraCurtin School of Population Health, Curtin University, Perth, Western Australia, Australia.
Gizachew A TessemaCurtin School of Population Health, Curtin University, Perth, Western Australia, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundUnder-five mortality (U5M) is a critical public health challenge in low- and lower-middle-income countries (LLMICs), where over 90% of global deaths occur. Despite progress, the changing contributions of risk factors to U5M in LLMICs remain unexplored.

methodsWe analysed Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data from 24 LLMICs across two periods: 1997-2005 and 2016-2022. We included 139,890 live births in 1997-2005 and 319,034 in 2016-2022. A mixed-effects robust Poisson regression model with a log link function was employed to identify risk factors of U5M in each period. Population-attributable fractions (PAFs) were calculated and compared to investigate changes in the contributions of risk factors over time.

resultsU5M attributable to never having been breastfed increased by 15.5 percentage points (95% CI 8.6, 22.9), early maternal age at birth (< 20 years) by 5.4 percentage points (95% CI 3.1, 5.7), and plural births by 1.2 percentage points (95% CI 0.4, 1.8). U5M reductions attributable to maternal secondary education were increased by 5.5 percentage points (95% CI 0.4, 11.0) and tertiary education increased by 2.6 percentage points (95% CI 1.6, 4.2). However, U5M reductions associated with 1-3 antenatal care (ANC) visits decreased by 7.2 percentage points (95% CI 2.4, 11.7).

conclusionsThe main contributors of U5M in LLMICs were never breastfeeding, short birth intervals (<33 months), ANC uptake, higher maternal education (secondary and tertiary), advanced maternal age at birth (≥35 years),  early maternal age at birth (<20 years), very small infants at birth, male sex, plurality, and single motherhood. The contributions of risk factors to U5M have changed over time. Interventions need to prioritise promoting breastfeeding, enhancing maternal education and increasing ANC uptake, and addressing other significant contributors to U5M.

Indexed as

Child MortalityDeveloping CountriesInfant MortalityAdultChild, PreschoolFemaleHealth SurveysHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMaleRisk FactorsYoung AdultAntenatal careBreastfeedingChangesContributionsLow- and lower-middle-income countriesRisk factorsUnder-five mortality

Identifiers

PMID40347427
PMCPMC12167716

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.